La escuela de los momios

Rodez AF v Grenoble

Inicio: 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rodez AF (Local)

Predicción 46.67%2.14momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -3.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.96%46.75%46.63%48.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.891.982.002.0752.91%50.47%50.00%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Grenoble (Visitante)

Predicción 26.53%3.77momio equitativo
EV +0.805%
Ventaja +0.212%
Kelly +0.288%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.97%26.42%26.64%27.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.453.403.8031.25%28.97%29.41%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.80%3.73momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -0.598%
Kelly -0.824%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.16%26.83%26.73%28.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.403.403.6533.33%29.41%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.43%EV -3.39%E -1.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV +0.805%E +0.212%K +0.288%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.43%EV -3.39%E -1.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV +0.805%E +0.212%K +0.288%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 18:50
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.91%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.92%EV -1.58%E -0.426%K -0.584%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.17%EV -5.13%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 18:51
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -1.85%E -0.499%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 18:55
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -1.85%E -0.499%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -9.92%E -5.14%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -1.85%E -0.499%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 18:50
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.61%EV -6.19%E -3.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -3.17%E -0.870%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.72%EV -9.42%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 01:04
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.86%EV -7.12%E -3.58%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -3.17%E -0.870%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -9.42%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 01:00
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.88%EV -11.79%E -6.24%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.45%EV -3.70%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -3.52%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 18:51
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.25%E -2.59%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.52%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 18:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -9.92%E -5.14%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -3.52%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 18:45
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.99%E -4.61%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:55
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.92%E -5.14%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.83%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:46
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:55
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:45
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:45
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:45
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.99%E -4.61%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 18:45
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 18:45
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 18:45
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 18:45
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 18:41
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.99%E -4.61%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 18:55
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.59%E -3.83%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:45
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.59%E -3.83%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:45
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 46.25%EV -7.12%E -3.58%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 18:51
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 46.25%EV -7.12%E -3.58%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 18:55
Suprabets1.96I 51.02%NM 46.37%EV -8.52%E -4.35%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.29%EV -10.76%E -3.23%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 18:55
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -8.99%E -4.61%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 18:55
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.81%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 18:45
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.81%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 18:50
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.81%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 18:45
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -10.39%E -5.41%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.81%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -2.18%E -0.598%K -0.824%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 18:45
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -10.39%E -5.41%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.81%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -2.18%E -0.598%K -0.824%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 18:45
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -8.05%E -4.09%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.81%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 18:45
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.99%E -4.61%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.81%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 18:45
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -8.52%E -4.35%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.81%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 18:50
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -9.81%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-06 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.13%E -3.32%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 19:39
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.13%E -3.32%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 19:39
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.13%E -3.32%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.13%E -3.32%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 19:40
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.13%E -3.32%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 19:39
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.13%E -3.32%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 19:39
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.13%E -3.32%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 19:39
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.13%E -3.32%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 19:40
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.13%E -3.32%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 19:40
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.13%E -3.32%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 19:39
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.13%E -3.32%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 19:39
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.13%E -3.32%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 19:39
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.13%E -3.32%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 19:39
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.13%E -3.32%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 19:39
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.65%E -3.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.46%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 18:55
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.99%E -4.61%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.78%E -4.24%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.99%E -4.61%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.78%E -4.24%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.99%E -4.61%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.78%E -4.24%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 18:51
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.99%E -4.61%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.78%E -4.24%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -13.78%E -4.24%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -19.60%E -6.53%K -9.80%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-06 18:54
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -15.11%E -4.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-06 18:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-03-06 18:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-03-06 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-03-06 18:50
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-03-06 18:55
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.37%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.26%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-03-06 18:55