La escuela de los momios

Rodez AF v Amiens

Inicio: 2026-04-17 18:00 UTC

Final: Rodez AF 3–2 Amiens

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rodez AF (Local)

Predicción 56.01%1.79momio equitativo
EV -5.34%
Ventaja -3.16%
Kelly -7.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.15%56.01%56.00%57.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.641.641.6963.29%61.00%60.98%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Amiens (Visitante)

Predicción 21.09%4.74momio equitativo
EV +0.199%
Ventaja +0.042%
Kelly +0.053%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.08%21.10%21.10%23.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.424.404.7526.32%22.61%22.73%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.90%4.37momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.306%
Kelly -0.398%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.94%22.89%22.90%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.953.954.3129.41%25.33%25.32%23.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.17%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV +0.199%E +0.042%K +0.053%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -3.84%E -0.914%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 17:44
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV +0.199%E +0.042%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.85%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 15:00
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV +0.199%E +0.042%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.85%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 15:00
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV +0.199%E +0.042%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.85%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV +0.199%E +0.042%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.85%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 15:00
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV +0.199%E +0.042%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.85%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV +0.199%E +0.042%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.85%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 15:00
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV +0.199%E +0.042%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.85%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 15:00
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV +0.199%E +0.042%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.85%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 15:00
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV +0.199%E +0.042%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.85%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 15:00
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV +0.199%E +0.042%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.85%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 15:00
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV +0.199%E +0.042%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.85%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 15:00
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV +0.199%E +0.042%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.85%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 15:00
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -11.51%E -7.28%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV +0.199%E +0.042%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -11.85%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -9.82%E -6.10%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -0.855%E -0.182%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -13.00%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 14:59
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -9.82%E -6.10%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -0.855%E -0.182%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -13.00%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -9.82%E -6.10%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -0.855%E -0.182%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -13.00%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 15:00
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.13%EV -5.90%E -3.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.60%EV -1.70%E -0.365%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.27%EV -1.32%E -0.306%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 17:40
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.07%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.84%E -0.914%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 17:30
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -7.58%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.07%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.13%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:45
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -7.58%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.07%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.13%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:39
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.58%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -5.07%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.42%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 17:44
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -5.07%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.42%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 17:49
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -5.07%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.42%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 17:45
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -5.34%E -3.16%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -7.18%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.13%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 17:34
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -5.34%E -3.16%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -7.18%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.13%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 17:34
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -5.34%E -3.16%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -7.18%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.42%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 17:35
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -8.14%E -4.97%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.18%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -2.69%E -0.633%K -0.828%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:35
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -7.58%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.18%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.13%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 17:43
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -8.70%E -5.34%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -7.18%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -6.13%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 17:52
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24%EV -8.70%E -5.34%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.18%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.42%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 17:45
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.02%E -4.23%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -8.24%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -2.69%E -0.633%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 17:39
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.82%EV -7.02%E -4.23%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.24%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -7.27%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 17:38
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.58%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -8.24%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.56%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 17:34
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.58%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -8.24%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.56%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 17:39
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -8.66%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.42%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 17:44
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -8.66%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:34
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -8.66%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:39
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -8.66%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:39
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -8.66%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:39
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -8.66%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.42%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:35
Suprabets1.62I 61.73%NM 56.18%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -8.66%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 22.81%EV -8.65%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 17:38
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -9.82%E -6.10%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -8.66%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -8.42%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 17:44
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.38%E -6.49%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -8.66%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.00%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 17:49
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -9.29%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.42%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 17:40
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -9.29%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.42%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 17:34
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -9.29%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.42%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 17:49
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.40%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.42%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 17:34
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -7.58%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -11.40%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 17:39
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -11.40%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.42%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 17:44
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.14%E -4.97%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -13.51%E -3.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -8.42%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 17:34
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.14%E -4.97%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -13.51%E -3.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -8.42%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 17:34
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.58%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.62%E -3.91%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -13.00%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 17:34
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.58%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.62%E -3.91%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -13.00%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.58%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.62%E -3.91%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -13.00%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.58%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.62%E -3.91%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -13.00%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 17:35
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -15.62%E -3.91%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -13.00%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-17 17:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -15.62%E -3.91%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -22.15%E -6.52%K -9.23%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-17 17:35
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -10.38%E -6.49%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -19.84%E -5.22%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -8.42%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-17 17:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-04-17 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-04-17 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-04-17 17:44
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.88%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.73%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.82%1.9%2026-04-17 17:45