La escuela de los momios

Red Star v USL Dunkerque

Inicio: 2026-03-14 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Red Star (Local)

Predicción 39.25%2.55momio equitativo
EV -3.85%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -2.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.14%39.27%39.15%40.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.60%42.55%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

USL Dunkerque (Visitante)

Predicción 31.26%3.20momio equitativo
EV +0.973%
Ventaja +0.301%
Kelly +0.436%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.32%31.29%31.39%33.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.912.903.2336.36%34.31%34.48%30.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.49%3.39momio equitativo
EV +0.279%
Ventaja +0.082%
Kelly +0.116%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.91%29.45%29.46%31.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.123.153.4035.71%32.01%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.83%EV +0.973%E +0.301%K +0.436%G +0.004%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.02%EV -5.33%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 12:50
BetUS2.29I 43.67%NM 40.24%EV -10.13%E -4.42%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -2.47%E -0.790%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.04%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 12:55
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -7.77%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -3.09%E -0.997%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 12:45
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.77%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -3.09%E -0.997%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -10.04%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:50
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.09%E -0.997%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 12:55
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -7.77%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -3.09%E -0.997%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 12:45
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.77%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -3.09%E -0.997%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.99%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 12:45
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -11.70%E -5.20%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -3.09%E -0.997%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:55
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.84%EV -8.17%E -3.49%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -3.72%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -7.98%E -2.56%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 12:55
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -8.95%E -3.86%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -10.04%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 12:54
Suprabets2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -10.52%E -4.61%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.11%EV -5.59%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.01%EV -10.63%E -3.51%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:43
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.82%EV -4.24%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 12:50
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.82%EV -4.24%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 12:55
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 12:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.77%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 12:35
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:45
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:25
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:55
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -14.47%E -4.99%K -7.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-14 12:45
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -3.85%E -1.57%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 12:05
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -8.95%E -3.86%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 12:54
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.95%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.02%EV -8.72%E -2.99%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.03%EV -5.03%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:35
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.72%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.56%EV -8.72%E -2.99%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 12:05
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.72%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.56%EV -8.72%E -2.99%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 12:05
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -3.85%E -1.57%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV +0.279%E +0.082%K +0.116%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 12:34
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.77%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.09%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.77%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.09%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:05
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -13.66%E -6.21%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 12:45
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.70%E -5.20%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -14.47%E -4.99%K -7.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-14 12:45
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 12:04
Codere (IT)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -7.77%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -3.85%E -1.57%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.67%E -0.809%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 12:45
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:10
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.77%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -2.67%E -0.809%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:45
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:05
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:05
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:05
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:05
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:05
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -7.77%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.09%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -7.77%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.09%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:05
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -7.77%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.09%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:04
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -14.03%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -14.03%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 16:49
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -14.03%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -14.03%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 16:50
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -14.03%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -11.70%E -5.20%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -14.03%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -17.42%E -6.22%K -9.68%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-14 12:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-03-14 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-03-14 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-03-14 12:45
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-03-14 12:45
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%1.6%2026-03-14 12:55