L’École des cotes

Nancy v USL Dunkerque

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

Score final : Nancy 3–2 USL Dunkerque

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Nancy (Local)

Prévision 34.70%2.88cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.67%34.73%34.65%35.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.632.622.7840.00%38.08%38.17%35.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

USL Dunkerque (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.45%2.60cote équitable
EV -3.88%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -2.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.71%38.46%38.53%39.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.422.402.5045.45%41.39%41.67%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.85%3.72cote équitable
EV +0.679%
Avantage +0.181%
Kelly +0.247%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.51%26.81%26.82%28.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.393.353.7533.33%29.50%29.85%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV +0.679%E +0.181%K +0.247%G +0.002%4.5%2026-05-09 17:29
Pinnacle2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -4.56%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -3.35%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:50
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.03%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.73%E -3.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.35%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 17:29
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.65%E -4.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.35%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:25
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -4.56%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -7.73%E -3.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:35
Marathon Bet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.44%EV -5.95%E -2.20%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89%EV -7.73%E -3.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 17:54
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.73%E -3.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:34
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:14
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.03%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.73%E -3.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:25
Bovada2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -6.99%E -2.61%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.14%EV -9.26%E -3.93%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:53
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -8.49%E -3.57%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 17:25
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.57%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:55
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -9.65%E -4.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 17:29
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -9.65%E -4.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 17:29
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -3.88%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 17:29
BetOnline.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 33.85%EV -3.52%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.88%EV -6.96%E -2.87%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:34
LowVig.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 33.85%EV -3.52%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.88%EV -6.96%E -2.87%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:34
BetUS2.67I 37.45%NM 34.53%EV -7.34%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -8.49%E -3.57%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:45
Suprabets2.64I 37.88%NM 34.45%EV -8.38%E -3.17%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.87%EV -10.03%E -4.29%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.67%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 17:51
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -3.88%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 17:35
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -3.88%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 17:35
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -3.88%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 17:34
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.73%E -3.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:54
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.03%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.73%E -3.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:34
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.03%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.73%E -3.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:25
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.03%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.73%E -3.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:34
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.03%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.65%E -4.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 17:49
1xBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.44%EV -5.60%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -4.65%E -1.87%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.79%EV -9.52%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:54
Betclic (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.20%EV -8.73%E -3.32%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.33%EV -4.65%E -1.87%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.47%EV -9.52%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:38
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.88%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.88%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.88%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 17:35
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.88%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 17:34
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.88%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 17:35
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.88%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 17:35
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.88%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 17:35
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.88%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 17:34
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.88%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 17:34
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.07%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:30
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.07%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:34
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 34.37%EV -7.34%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%EV -7.73%E -3.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 17:49
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -8.03%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.65%E -4.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 17:34
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -11.50%E -4.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -4.65%E -1.87%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -11.50%E -4.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -4.65%E -1.87%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 17:34
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -11.50%E -4.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -4.65%E -1.87%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 17:35
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.94%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.54%EV -6.96%E -2.87%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 17:30
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.73%E -3.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 17:54
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.73%E -3.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.73%E -3.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 17:44
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.73%E -3.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 17:44
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.73%E -3.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -8.49%E -3.57%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 17:24
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -13.24%E -5.30%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.49%E -3.57%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -13.24%E -5.30%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.49%E -3.57%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 17:15
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -13.24%E -5.30%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -8.88%E -3.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -13.24%E -5.30%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -8.88%E -3.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 17:10
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -15.42%E -7.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-09 17:35
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -11.57%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -14.09%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-09 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -13.24%E -5.30%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -13.49%E -6.00%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -19.46%E -6.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-09 17:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.51%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-05-09 17:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.51%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-05-09 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.51%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-05-09 17:55
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.51%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-05-09 17:45
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.19%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.6%2026-05-09 17:49