Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nancy v Stade de Reims

Início: 2026-09-11 18:00 UTC

Final: Nancy 1–2 Stade de Reims

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nancy (Local)

Previsão 30.87%3.24odd justa
EV +1.89%
Vantagem +0.572%
Kelly +0.820%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.04%30.78%30.86%32.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.973.003.3036.36%33.73%33.33%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stade de Reims (Visitante)

Previsão 41.43%2.41odd justa
EV -3.89%
Vantagem -1.68%
Kelly -2.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.26%41.50%41.43%43.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.212.202.3247.62%45.28%45.45%43.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.70%3.61odd justa
EV -3.05%
Vantagem -0.872%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.38%27.72%27.72%28.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.303.303.5031.75%30.33%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nancy (Local): 30.87%; Stade de Reims (Visitante): 41.43%; Empate: 27.70%. Para Nancy (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.24. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.89%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV +1.89%E +0.572%K +0.820%G +0.015%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 15:24
Betclic (FR)🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.73%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.16%EV -8.86%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 22:43
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.05%E -0.872%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 02:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -8.86%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -3.05%E -0.872%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 02:39
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.86%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 22:44
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.86%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 22:44
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -9.69%E -4.45%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 22:44
Pinnacle🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.28%EV -6.45%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -3.89%E -1.68%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -5.82%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 22:20
1xBet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.00%EV -6.76%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.06%EV -5.55%E -2.43%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.76%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.27%EV -6.38%E -2.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 12:25
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.82%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 22:44
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.82%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.86%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.05%E -0.872%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 02:40
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 18:20
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 18:20
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 18:20
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 18:19
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.86%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.82%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 02:40
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 12:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 12:55
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 12:55
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.82%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 02:40
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.86%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 10:23
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.86%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 22:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.04%EV -7.99%E -2.68%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.93%EV -6.38%E -2.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 09:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.04%EV -7.99%E -2.68%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.93%EV -6.38%E -2.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 09:10
BetUS🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.04%EV -7.99%E -2.68%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.93%EV -6.38%E -2.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 09:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 30.51%EV -8.30%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.86%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 12:36
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.69%E -4.45%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 02:40
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.82%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 02:38
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.82%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 06:53
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.82%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 06:50
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.79%E -3.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 07:00
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -5.82%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 02:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 22:45
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 12:35
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -13.01%E -6.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -5.82%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 11:15
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.03%EV -10.11%E -4.66%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 18:20
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -11.08%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.72%E -2.05%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.82%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 06:10
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.08%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -11.08%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 22:44
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -11.08%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 22:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -11.39%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 22:44
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -11.39%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -12.01%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -13.01%E -6.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-08 22:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.90%EV -12.01%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.15%EV -11.35%E -5.30%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-08 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.90%EV -12.01%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.15%EV -11.35%E -5.30%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-08 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.90%EV -12.01%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.15%EV -11.35%E -5.30%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-08 18:20
Suprabets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -13.55%E -4.84%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -8.86%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 21:39
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -15.09%E -5.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-07 20:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.79%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%5.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%5.2%2026-09-09 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%5.2%2026-09-09 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%5.2%2026-09-09 15:10
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%7.1%2026-09-09 15:30