L’École des cotes

Montpellier v Stade Lavallois

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Montpellier (Local)

Prévision 51.25%1.95cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -2.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.41%51.11%51.29%52.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.821.811.9057.80%54.80%55.40%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Stade Lavallois (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.39%4.67cote équitable
EV +2.69%
Avantage +0.561%
Kelly +0.709%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.84%21.53%21.30%23.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.224.204.8026.32%23.70%23.81%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.36%3.66cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.419%
Kelly -0.580%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.43%27.37%27.41%28.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.323.303.6033.33%30.09%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.32%EV -6.73%E -3.70%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%EV +2.69%E +0.561%K +0.709%G +0.019%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -6.43%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 18:55
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -1.58%E -0.344%K -0.440%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 18:40
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -1.58%E -0.344%K -0.440%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 18:40
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.26%EV -5.19%E -2.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.84%EV -2.65%E -0.583%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.26%EV -5.19%E -2.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.84%EV -2.65%E -0.583%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 18:44
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.63%EV -4.68%E -2.52%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -3.30%E -0.729%K -0.936%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.13%EV -3.15%E -0.890%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 18:55
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -6.73%E -3.70%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.72%E -0.827%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 18:15
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.91%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.72%E -0.827%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.32%EV -6.43%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:33
Parions Sport (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.72%E -0.827%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 18:35
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -10.32%E -5.90%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -3.72%E -0.827%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:10
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.32%E -5.90%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -3.72%E -0.827%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 15:55
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.50%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -4.79%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 18:15
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.50%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -4.79%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 18:14
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.86%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 18:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.86%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:50
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.86%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.61%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -5.86%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -5.86%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -5.86%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -5.86%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:54
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.32%E -5.90%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.86%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-13 18:40
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.19%E -2.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -8.00%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -1.51%E -0.419%K -0.580%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 18:54
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -4.17%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -8.00%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:45
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -8.00%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 14:55
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -8.00%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 18:55
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -8.00%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 18:54
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -8.78%E -4.93%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -8.00%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 18:15
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.07%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 15:20
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.73%E -3.70%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.14%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:50
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.14%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-12 19:10
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -8.78%E -4.93%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.14%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.61%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 18:14
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -8.78%E -4.93%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.14%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.61%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 18:15
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.14%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 18:55
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.14%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:49
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.32%E -5.90%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.14%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-13 18:40
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -7.24%E -4.00%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:55
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 14:38
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -6.73%E -3.70%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.72%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-13 18:55
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-12 09:04
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-12 09:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-12 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-12 09:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -11.34%E -6.56%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -17.92%E -5.97%K -8.96%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-13 18:50
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -2.63%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.49%E -3.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 19:20
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.54%EV -3.14%E -1.66%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -15.49%E -3.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:20
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 48.54%EV -3.14%E -1.66%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -15.49%E -3.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:24
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.54%EV -3.14%E -1.66%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -15.49%E -3.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:25
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.54%EV -3.14%E -1.66%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -15.49%E -3.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:24
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.54%EV -3.14%E -1.66%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -15.49%E -3.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:24
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 48.54%EV -3.14%E -1.66%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -15.49%E -3.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:24
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 48.54%EV -3.14%E -1.66%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -15.49%E -3.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:24
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 48.54%EV -3.14%E -1.66%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -15.49%E -3.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:25
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.54%EV -3.14%E -1.66%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -15.49%E -3.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:25
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 48.54%EV -3.14%E -1.66%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -15.49%E -3.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.53%EV -3.66%E -1.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -16.56%E -4.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 19:20
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.53%EV -3.66%E -1.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -16.56%E -4.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 19:25
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.53%EV -3.66%E -1.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -16.56%E -4.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 19:26
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -18.70%E -4.92%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-13 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.53%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-13 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.53%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-13 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.53%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-13 18:45
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.53%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-13 18:45
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.21%2.1%2026-03-13 18:50