La escuela de los momios

Le Mans FC v Guingamp

Inicio: 2026-02-23 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Le Mans FC (Local)

Predicción 33.84%2.96momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -0.645%
Kelly -0.984%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.87%33.93%33.88%35.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.672.692.9039.22%37.41%37.17%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Guingamp (Visitante)

Predicción 36.18%2.76momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -0.854%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.80%36.08%36.18%37.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.572.582.7043.48%38.89%38.76%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.98%3.34momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -0.790%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.95%29.99%29.93%31.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.033.003.2535.71%32.98%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 33.23%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.37%EV -4.11%E -1.55%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.40%EV -4.97%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 19:30
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.57%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 19:20
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -4.92%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.65%E -2.58%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -8.86%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 19:39
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -4.11%E -1.55%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -4.07%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 19:29
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-23 19:29
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-23 19:29
Bovada2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -5.93%E -2.13%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.50%EV -8.46%E -3.34%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.56%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 19:38
BetUS2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -5.93%E -2.13%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.50%EV -8.46%E -3.34%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.56%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 19:40
Suprabets2.76I 36.23%NM 32.97%EV -6.61%E -2.39%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.40%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.64%EV -10.96%E -3.69%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-23 19:22
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 19:30
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.07%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-23 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -11.56%E -3.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-23 19:30
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.83%EV -7.66%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-23 19:25
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.83%EV -7.66%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-23 19:19
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-23 19:20
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -11.56%E -3.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-23 19:25
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-23 19:35
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-23 19:34
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-23 19:34
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-23 19:35
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.63%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -13.06%E -4.50%K -6.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-23 19:25
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -2.57%E -0.790%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 18:25
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-23 19:20
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-23 19:20
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-23 19:24
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -11.56%E -3.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-23 19:39
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.06%E -4.50%K -6.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-23 19:25
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.66%E -4.74%K -7.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-23 19:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -16.78%E -7.30%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -16.06%E -5.74%K -8.92%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-23 19:24
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.61%EV -9.31%E -3.48%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.65%E -2.58%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -5.57%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-23 18:25
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.61%EV -9.31%E -3.48%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.65%E -2.58%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -5.57%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-23 18:25
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -10.33%E -3.90%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.56%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-23 19:30
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -10.33%E -3.90%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-23 19:18
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -10.33%E -3.90%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-23 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -11.01%E -4.18%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-23 19:20
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -11.01%E -4.18%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-23 19:20
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -11.34%E -4.33%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-23 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -11.34%E -4.33%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-23 19:20
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -11.34%E -4.33%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-23 19:39
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.39%EV -11.34%E -4.33%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.45%EV -13.16%E -5.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -13.06%E -4.50%K -6.87%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-23 19:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -12.02%E -4.62%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.57%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-23 19:19
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -12.02%E -4.62%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-23 18:25
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -12.02%E -4.62%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-23 18:25
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -12.02%E -4.62%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-23 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -2.31%E -0.854%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:20
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -2.31%E -0.854%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:20
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -2.31%E -0.854%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:20
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -2.31%E -0.854%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:19
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -2.31%E -0.854%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:20
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -2.31%E -0.854%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:20
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -2.31%E -0.854%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:20
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -2.31%E -0.854%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:20
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -2.31%E -0.854%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:19
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -2.31%E -0.854%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:20
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -2.31%E -0.854%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:20
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -2.31%E -0.854%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:20
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -2.31%E -0.854%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:20
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -2.31%E -0.854%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-02-23 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-02-23 19:40
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-02-23 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.21%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-02-23 19:30
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.11%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.77%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.12%2.0%2026-02-23 19:35