La escuela de los momios

Guingamp v Stade de Reims

Inicio: 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Guingamp (Local)

Predicción 35.75%2.80momio equitativo
EV -0.262%
Ventaja -0.094%
Kelly -0.146%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.22%35.72%35.66%37.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.562.512.7941.67%39.07%39.84%35.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stade de Reims (Visitante)

Predicción 36.15%2.77momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -0.888%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.21%36.10%36.26%37.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.572.562.7041.67%38.98%39.06%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.10%3.56momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -0.883%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.98%28.18%28.07%30.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.233.203.4534.72%30.97%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.55%EV -0.262%E -0.094%K -0.146%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.97%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.48%EV -8.11%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 12:35
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -1.69%E -0.615%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.78%EV -2.40%E -0.888%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.10%EV -6.70%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 12:29
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -1.69%E -0.615%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.78%EV -2.40%E -0.888%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.10%EV -6.70%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 12:30
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 12:34
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 12:35
Bovada2.68I 37.31%NM 34.46%EV -4.19%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.94%EV -7.10%E -2.76%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.60%EV -12.32%E -3.95%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 12:33
BetUS2.68I 37.31%NM 34.46%EV -4.19%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.94%EV -7.10%E -2.76%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.60%EV -12.32%E -3.95%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 12:35
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 11:30
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 12:34
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 12:30
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -14.29%E -4.68%K -6.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 12:34
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -15.69%E -5.23%K -7.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:35
Suprabets2.63I 38.02%NM 34.53%EV -5.98%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.89%EV -8.54%E -3.38%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.58%EV -13.73%E -4.47%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 12:34
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:30
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.75%EV -8.18%E -3.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 12:30
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 12:34
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 12:35
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 12:34
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 12:35
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.47%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 01:09
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 09:50
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 12:34
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 12:35
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 12:34
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 12:34
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 12:35
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.84%E -3.47%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 12:34
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -9.91%E -3.93%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -5.29%E -2.02%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 17:50
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -9.91%E -3.93%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -5.29%E -2.02%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 17:50
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -3.05%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 12:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 22:15
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 08:15
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 08:15
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.47%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.48%EV -7.10%E -2.76%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 09:45
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 11:30
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-20 17:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -11.43%E -4.67%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:35
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -11.43%E -4.67%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 12:34
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -13.24%E -5.52%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-21 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -13.24%E -5.52%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-21 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -13.24%E -5.52%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-21 11:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -13.24%E -5.52%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-21 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -13.24%E -5.52%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -19.07%E -6.62%K -10.14%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-21 12:34
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 36.89%EV -11.34%E -4.57%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 19:00
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 36.89%EV -11.34%E -4.57%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 19:00
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.89%EV -11.34%E -4.57%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 19:00
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 36.89%EV -11.34%E -4.57%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 19:00
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 36.89%EV -11.34%E -4.57%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.89%EV -11.34%E -4.57%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 19:00
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.89%EV -11.34%E -4.57%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 19:00
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 36.89%EV -11.34%E -4.57%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 19:00
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 36.89%EV -11.34%E -4.57%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 18:59
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 36.89%EV -11.34%E -4.57%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 18:59
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.89%EV -11.34%E -4.57%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 19:00
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -12.42%E -5.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.48%E -3.64%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-20 13:20
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -12.42%E -5.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.48%E -3.64%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-20 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -12.42%E -5.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.48%E -3.64%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-20 13:20
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -14.20%E -5.92%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -13.24%E -5.52%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-20 13:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.99%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.3%2026-03-21 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.99%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.3%2026-03-21 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.15%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.73%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-03-21 12:30
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.15%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.73%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-03-21 12:30
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.08%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.26%2.6%2026-03-21 12:30