La escuela de los momios

Clermont v USL Dunkerque

Inicio: 2026-02-27 19:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Clermont (Local)

Predicción 33.62%2.97momio equitativo
EV +2.53%
Ventaja +0.830%
Kelly +1.24%
Crecimiento +0.031%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.69%33.37%33.63%34.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.812.783.0538.46%35.58%35.97%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

USL Dunkerque (Visitante)

Predicción 36.46%2.74momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -0.717%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.78%36.51%36.44%40.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.232.472.502.6944.84%40.53%40.00%37.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.92%3.34momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -0.845%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.75%30.12%29.93%33.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.793.043.053.2535.84%32.84%32.79%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV +2.53%E +0.830%K +1.24%G +0.031%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -16.88%E -7.40%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 18:59
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV +2.53%E +0.830%K +1.24%G +0.031%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -16.88%E -7.40%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 19:00
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV +2.53%E +0.830%K +1.24%G +0.031%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -16.88%E -7.40%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 18:55
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV +2.53%E +0.830%K +1.24%G +0.031%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -16.88%E -7.40%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 18:59
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV +2.53%E +0.830%K +1.24%G +0.031%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -16.88%E -7.40%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 19:00
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV +2.53%E +0.830%K +1.24%G +0.031%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -16.88%E -7.40%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 18:59
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV +2.53%E +0.830%K +1.24%G +0.031%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -16.88%E -7.40%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 18:59
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV +2.53%E +0.830%K +1.24%G +0.031%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -16.88%E -7.40%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 19:00
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV +2.53%E +0.830%K +1.24%G +0.031%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -16.88%E -7.40%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 18:59
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV +2.53%E +0.830%K +1.24%G +0.031%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -16.88%E -7.40%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 18:59
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV +2.53%E +0.830%K +1.24%G +0.031%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -18.70%E -8.38%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 19:00
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV +0.852%E +0.284%K +0.426%G +0.004%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -16.88%E -7.40%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 19:00
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV +0.852%E +0.284%K +0.426%G +0.004%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -16.88%E -7.40%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV +0.852%E +0.284%K +0.426%G +0.004%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -16.88%E -7.40%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 18:59
Marathon Bet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.81%EV -1.50%E -0.512%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -2.29%E -0.855%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -16.51%E -5.92%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 19:00
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 33.08%EV -2.17%E -0.747%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.06%EV -2.66%E -0.995%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.86%EV -6.64%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 18:59
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -2.51%E -0.865%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -3.39%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -2.51%E -0.865%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -3.39%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 19:00
Betclic (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.43%EV -12.62%E -4.32%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 18:58
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.69%EV -5.20%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.58%EV -8.13%E -3.22%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 18:59
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -2.75%E -0.845%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 18:59
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 19:00
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 18:59
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 18:59
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 18:59
NetBet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -11.72%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 19:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 18:59
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.05%EV -6.21%E -2.23%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.31%EV -1.93%E -0.717%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 18:59
Bovada2.78I 35.97%NM 33.07%EV -6.54%E -2.35%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.77%EV -6.30%E -2.45%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -11.72%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 18:58
BetUS2.78I 35.97%NM 33.07%EV -6.54%E -2.35%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.77%EV -6.30%E -2.45%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -11.72%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 18:59
Suprabets2.77I 36.10%NM 32.78%EV -6.88%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.03%EV -8.13%E -3.22%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.20%EV -12.92%E -4.44%K -6.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 18:58
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.55%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:00
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.55%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 18:58
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.55%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 18:59
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.55%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 18:59
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.55%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:00
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -7.55%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 19:00
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.55%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -11.72%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 18:59
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -7.55%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-27 18:59
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -2.75%E -0.845%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:59
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-27 18:59
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-27 18:59
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-27 19:00
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 19:00
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 19:00
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-27 18:59
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -10.91%E -4.12%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 19:00
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -10.91%E -4.12%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 19:00
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -11.59%E -4.41%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.87%EV -12.50%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-27 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -11.59%E -4.41%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.87%EV -12.50%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-27 18:59
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.55%EV -11.59%E -4.41%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.02%EV -10.68%E -4.36%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-27 19:00
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -11.92%E -4.55%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 18:59
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -11.92%E -4.55%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -11.92%E -4.55%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 18:59
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -11.92%E -4.55%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 18:59
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -11.92%E -4.55%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -12.50%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-27 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -11.92%E -4.55%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -12.50%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-27 19:00
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -12.60%E -4.84%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -12.50%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.5%2026-02-27 18:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-02-27 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-02-27 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-02-27 19:00
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.62%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-02-27 19:00
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-02-27 18:59