La escuela de los momios

Clermont v SC Bastia

Inicio: 2026-04-24 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Clermont (Local)

Predicción 36.40%2.75momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -2.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.74%36.36%36.41%37.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.64%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SC Bastia (Visitante)

Predicción 34.70%2.88momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.79%34.79%34.71%36.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.652.682.7940.00%37.77%37.31%35.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.89%3.46momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -0.956%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.37%28.85%28.88%30.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.173.153.3535.71%31.59%31.75%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.78%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:19
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 36.71%EV -4.99%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.34%EV -3.18%E -1.14%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.95%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 02:50
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -4.57%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:24
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 20:59
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 02:45
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -8.04%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -13.25%E -5.30%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 21:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -13.25%E -5.30%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 21:19
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -13.25%E -5.30%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 21:19
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -13.25%E -5.30%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 21:20
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.39%EV -6.08%E -2.36%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.27%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.34%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 02:40
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.39%EV -6.08%E -2.36%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.27%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.34%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 02:39
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.83%EV -6.08%E -2.36%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.28%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 21:45
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.83%EV -6.08%E -2.36%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.28%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 21:45
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.38%EV -6.44%E -2.51%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.02%EV -7.35%E -2.75%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -5.51%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:04
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.57%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 02:54
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 02:54
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -8.04%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 18:04
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 02:38
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -13.25%E -5.30%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.956%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 12:00
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -13.25%E -5.30%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.956%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 12:00
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -11.51%E -4.51%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 21:45
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.88%EV -7.90%E -3.12%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.68%EV -6.65%E -2.47%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 02:39
Marathon Bet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.88%EV -7.90%E -3.12%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.68%EV -6.65%E -2.47%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 02:40
Bovada2.52I 39.68%NM 36.54%EV -8.26%E -3.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.23%EV -6.65%E -2.47%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 02:50
BetUS2.52I 39.68%NM 36.54%EV -8.26%E -3.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.23%EV -6.65%E -2.47%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 02:39
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.04%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 21:03
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 02:55
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 21:04
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 21:00
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:14
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:14
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:14
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:15
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:13
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:13
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:15
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:14
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:15
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:15
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:14
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 21:04
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.78%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 20:39
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.73%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-24 00:14
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 20:00
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 20:00
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 20:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 19:59
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.72%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.72%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:15
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.72%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:14
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -10.81%E -4.41%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -8.04%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-24 02:40
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.81%E -4.41%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -9.78%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -11.87%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 02:55
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.81%E -4.41%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -9.78%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -11.87%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.81%E -4.41%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -13.25%E -5.30%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 20:39
Suprabets2.44I 40.98%NM 36.59%EV -11.18%E -4.58%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -9.78%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.08%EV -11.29%E -3.68%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 03:10
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.63%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -9.78%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-24 02:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -12.63%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -13.25%E -5.30%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -19.09%E -6.82%K -10.61%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-23 21:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.43%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.43%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-04-24 03:45
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.43%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24%2.1%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.03%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.49%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%2.8%2026-04-24 03:40