La escuela de los momios

Clermont v Red Star

Inicio: 2026-03-20 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Clermont (Local)

Predicción 30.72%3.26momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.340%
Kelly -0.493%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.53%30.82%30.70%33.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.933.003.2237.04%34.14%33.33%31.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Red Star (Visitante)

Predicción 39.08%2.56momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -2.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.24%39.01%39.05%41.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.372.402.4847.62%42.14%41.67%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.21%3.31momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.561%
Kelly -0.810%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.88%30.17%30.25%32.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.053.103.2537.04%32.78%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.22I 31.06%NM 29.92%EV -1.09%E -0.340%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.49%EV -4.66%E -1.91%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 18:55
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 18:55
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.53%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.34%EV -15.99%E -7.44%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.12%EV -18.44%E -6.83%K -10.85%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-20 18:45
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -7.78%E -3.30%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 18:55
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -10.13%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 18:54
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 18:45
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 18:44
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.13%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:45
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.09%EV -5.39%E -1.75%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.09%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.30%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 18:45
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.09%EV -5.39%E -1.75%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.09%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.30%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 18:45
Parions Sport (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.32%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 18:45
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -6.32%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.43%EV -7.26%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 18:44
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.32%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 18:55
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.32%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 18:55
Suprabets3.01I 33.22%NM 30.21%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.37%EV -9.74%E -4.21%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.42%EV -9.68%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 18:49
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -1.82%E -0.561%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 18:49
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 18:45
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 18:45
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 18:45
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.13%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 18:49
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 18:35
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 18:49
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 18:45
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 18:45
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 18:45
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 18:45
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.13%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-20 18:44
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.13%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -13.00%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-20 18:45
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -15.42%E -5.51%K -8.56%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-20 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -17.94%E -8.54%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -13.00%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-20 18:45
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -9.39%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 18:49
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.39%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 18:45
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.39%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 18:45
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.39%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.46%EV -7.78%E -3.30%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 18:49
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 18:50
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 18:50
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 18:35
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.13%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-20 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.13%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-20 18:45
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-20 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.85%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -10.13%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-20 18:45
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.85%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -10.13%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-20 18:45
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -17.07%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 02:35
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -17.07%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 02:34
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -17.07%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 02:35
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -17.07%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 12:25
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -17.07%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 02:35
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -17.07%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 02:35
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -17.07%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 02:35
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -17.07%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 02:35
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -17.07%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 02:35
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -17.07%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 02:35
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -17.07%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 02:34
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -17.07%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -5.05%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 02:35
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -17.07%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -5.05%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 02:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -17.07%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -5.05%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 02:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%1.2%2026-03-20 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%1.2%2026-03-20 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%1.2%2026-03-20 18:50
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%1.2%2026-03-20 18:50
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.21%3.3%2026-03-20 18:55