La escuela de los momios

Clermont v Nancy

Inicio: 2026-04-10 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Clermont (Local)

Predicción 37.78%2.65momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.393%
Kelly -0.635%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.97%38.04%37.68%41.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.382.402.6245.45%41.97%41.67%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Nancy (Visitante)

Predicción 31.36%3.19momio equitativo
EV +11.31%
Ventaja +3.19%
Kelly +4.44%
Crecimiento +0.502%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.59%31.10%31.41%33.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.972.963.5538.46%33.70%33.78%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.87%3.24momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -0.878%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.86%30.86%30.91%32.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.003.003.1536.36%33.30%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -15.01%E -6.67%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV +11.31%E +3.19%K +4.44%G +0.502%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.39%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 18:01
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -16.89%E -7.68%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV +5.04%E +1.51%K +2.15%G +0.108%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.94%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 06:05
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -15.76%E -7.07%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.80%E -0.902%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -2.76%E -0.878%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:45
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -15.76%E -7.07%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.80%E -0.902%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -2.76%E -0.878%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:45
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -15.76%E -7.07%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.80%E -0.902%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -2.76%E -0.878%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:45
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -15.76%E -7.07%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.80%E -0.902%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -2.76%E -0.878%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:45
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -15.76%E -7.07%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.80%E -0.902%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -2.76%E -0.878%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:45
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -15.76%E -7.07%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.80%E -0.902%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -2.76%E -0.878%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:45
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -15.76%E -7.07%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.80%E -0.902%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -2.76%E -0.878%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:45
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -15.76%E -7.07%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.80%E -0.902%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -2.76%E -0.878%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:45
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -15.76%E -7.07%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.80%E -0.902%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -2.76%E -0.878%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:45
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -15.76%E -7.07%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.80%E -0.902%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -2.76%E -0.878%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:45
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -15.76%E -7.07%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.80%E -0.902%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -2.76%E -0.878%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:45
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -15.76%E -7.07%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.80%E -0.902%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -2.76%E -0.878%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -16.89%E -7.68%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -4.36%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -2.76%E -0.878%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 17:45
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -16.89%E -7.68%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -4.36%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -2.76%E -0.878%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 17:45
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -16.89%E -7.68%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -4.36%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -2.76%E -0.878%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 17:45
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.04%EV -1.78%E -0.686%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.79%EV -4.99%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.17%EV -4.62%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 17:45
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.85%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 17:45
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 17:39
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.39%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 17:50
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 17:50
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 17:39
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 17:45
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.23%E -4.78%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 17:39
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.23%E -4.78%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 17:39
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.58%E -3.55%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -6.56%E -2.20%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.39%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 17:40
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.58%E -3.55%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -6.56%E -2.20%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.39%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 17:40
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.43%EV -9.34%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.25%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.32%EV -14.19%E -5.10%K -7.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 17:45
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 17:40
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.44%EV -11.23%E -4.78%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.94%EV -9.86%E -3.38%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 17:50
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.78%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:55
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -2.76%E -0.878%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 17:45
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.34%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 17:45
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.34%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 17:45
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.39%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 17:45
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 17:55
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 17:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 17:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 17:55
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.59%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.87%EV -11.41%E -3.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 17:50
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 37.96%EV -9.72%E -4.07%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.75%EV -8.94%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 17:50
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.30%EV -1.03%E -0.393%K -0.635%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 17:55
BetUS2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -4.81%E -1.91%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.06%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -8.94%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 17:55
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 37.43%EV -7.83%E -3.21%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.71%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.86%EV -8.63%E -2.92%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 17:45
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 37.43%EV -7.83%E -3.21%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.71%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.86%EV -8.63%E -2.92%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 17:45
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -13.57%E -4.85%K -7.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 17:50
Suprabets2.46I 40.65%NM 36.96%EV -7.07%E -2.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.79%EV -10.32%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.25%EV -10.17%E -3.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 17:48
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -5.85%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 17:45
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.39%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 17:54
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -12.03%E -4.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 17:55
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-10 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-10 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.47%E -4.42%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 17:45
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.47%E -4.42%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 17:45
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.21%EV -15.11%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-10 17:49
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -13.77%E -5.01%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-10 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.97%EV -9.34%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.20%EV -18.47%E -7.11%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -13.57%E -4.85%K -7.54%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-10 17:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-04-10 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-04-10 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-04-10 17:50
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-04-10 17:45
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%1.8%2026-04-10 17:55