La escuela de los momios

Boulogne v Nancy

Inicio: 2026-03-20 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boulogne (Local)

Predicción 36.53%2.74momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -1.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.51%36.53%36.58%37.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.502.502.6541.67%39.95%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Nancy (Visitante)

Predicción 32.79%3.05momio equitativo
EV -2.95%
Ventaja -0.997%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.74%32.81%32.71%33.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.812.842.9638.17%35.53%35.21%33.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.68%3.26momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.45%30.66%30.71%31.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.003.003.1537.04%33.36%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%EV -3.20%E -1.21%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -3.28%E -1.11%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -5.49%E -1.78%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%EV -3.20%E -1.21%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -3.28%E -1.11%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -5.49%E -1.78%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 18:30
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.99%EV -3.56%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -4.92%E -1.70%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.25%EV -6.72%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 18:50
Betclic (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -3.93%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 18:35
Pinnacle2.62I 38.17%NM 36.74%EV -4.29%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.52%EV -2.95%E -0.997%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV -3.96%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 18:55
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -3.35%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 18:55
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 18:10
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.41%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 18:55
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -9.84%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 17:05
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -5.75%E -2.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -7.54%E -2.67%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -8.56%E -2.87%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 18:14
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -5.75%E -2.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -7.54%E -2.67%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -8.56%E -2.87%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 18:15
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.85%E -2.69%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -4.92%E -1.70%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 18:55
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.85%E -2.69%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -4.92%E -1.70%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 18:14
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.85%E -2.69%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -5.57%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 18:54
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -6.85%E -2.69%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 18:55
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -6.85%E -2.69%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -9.84%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 18:50
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -6.85%E -2.69%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -11.48%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-20 18:50
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -7.94%E -3.15%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -5.49%E -1.78%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 18:55
Bovada2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -7.94%E -3.15%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -7.21%E -2.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 18:55
BetUS2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -7.94%E -3.15%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -7.21%E -2.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 18:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -8.68%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -4.92%E -1.70%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 18:35
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.68%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 18:19
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.68%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.59%EV -7.54%E -2.67%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 18:28
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.68%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -8.68%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.84%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -6.41%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -8.68%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.84%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -6.41%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 18:14
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.68%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.57%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 18:29
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.68%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.57%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 18:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.68%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.57%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 18:29
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.68%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.57%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 18:30
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.87%EV -5.90%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 18:55
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -8.68%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-20 18:30
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.68%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:29
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -8.68%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -9.84%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-20 18:15
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.68%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -13.77%E -5.24%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.68%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -13.77%E -5.24%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.68%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -14.10%E -5.38%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-20 17:04
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.68%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -14.10%E -5.38%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-20 17:04
Suprabets2.48I 40.32%NM 36.68%EV -9.41%E -3.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.37%EV -7.87%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.94%EV -9.79%E -3.33%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 18:33
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -10.50%E -4.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -4.92%E -1.70%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:35
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.50%E -4.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -11.63%E -4.04%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-20 18:55
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.50%E -4.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.84%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -11.63%E -4.04%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 18:54
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -11.23%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.41%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 14:15
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -11.23%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.41%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 14:14
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -11.23%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.41%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 14:10
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -11.23%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.41%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 14:10
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -11.23%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.41%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 14:14
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -11.23%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.41%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 14:14
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -11.23%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.41%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 14:10
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -11.23%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.41%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 14:15
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -11.23%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.41%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 14:10
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -11.23%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.41%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 14:10
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -11.23%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -6.56%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.41%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 14:10
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -12.33%E -5.14%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -6.41%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 14:10
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -12.33%E -5.14%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -6.41%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 14:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -12.33%E -5.14%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.20%E -2.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -6.41%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 14:14
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -12.33%E -5.14%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -14.10%E -5.38%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-20 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -12.33%E -5.14%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -13.77%E -5.24%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -17.15%E -6.35%K -10.09%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-20 18:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-03-20 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-03-20 18:55
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-03-20 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.4%2026-03-20 18:55
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58%2.2%2026-03-20 18:55