La escuela de los momios

Boulogne v Annecy FC

Inicio: 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

Final: Boulogne 1–2 Annecy FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boulogne (Local)

Predicción 25.90%3.86momio equitativo
EV +2.30%
Ventaja +0.581%
Kelly +0.778%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.27%25.73%26.00%26.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.663.603.9529.41%27.34%27.78%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Annecy FC (Visitante)

Predicción 46.51%2.15momio equitativo
EV -3.73%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -3.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.18%46.66%46.41%49.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.951.952.0754.64%51.22%51.28%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.60%3.62momio equitativo
EV -3.42%
Ventaja -0.976%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.85%27.60%27.59%29.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.303.303.5034.72%30.29%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV +2.30%E +0.581%K +0.778%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -12.57%E -6.68%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:45
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV +2.30%E +0.581%K +0.778%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -12.57%E -6.68%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:46
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV +2.30%E +0.581%K +0.778%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -12.57%E -6.68%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:46
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV +2.30%E +0.581%K +0.778%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -12.57%E -6.68%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:45
LeoVegas3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV +2.30%E +0.581%K +0.778%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -12.57%E -6.68%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:45
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV +2.30%E +0.581%K +0.778%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -12.57%E -6.68%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:45
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV +2.30%E +0.581%K +0.778%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -12.57%E -6.68%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:45
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV +2.30%E +0.581%K +0.778%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -12.57%E -6.68%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:45
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV +2.30%E +0.581%K +0.778%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -12.57%E -6.68%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:45
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV +2.30%E +0.581%K +0.778%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -12.57%E -6.68%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:45
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV +2.30%E +0.581%K +0.778%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -12.57%E -6.68%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:45
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV +2.30%E +0.581%K +0.778%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -12.57%E -6.68%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:45
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV +1.00%E +0.257%K +0.345%G +0.003%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.01%EV -13.50%E -7.26%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 11:45
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV +1.00%E +0.257%K +0.345%G +0.003%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.01%EV -13.50%E -7.26%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV +1.00%E +0.257%K +0.345%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -13.96%E -7.55%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 11:45
Pinnacle3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.59%E -0.418%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -4.20%E -2.04%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 17:50
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -1.59%E -0.418%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.31%E -4.78%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 12:59
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -1.59%E -0.418%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -10.24%E -5.31%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:05
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.88%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 17:50
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 17:45
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:15
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.31%E -4.78%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:50
Marathon Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.47%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.34%EV -8.38%E -4.25%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 12:25
BetOnline.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.47%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 12:55
LowVig.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.47%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 12:54
1xBet3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -6.25%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%EV -3.73%E -1.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -5.62%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 13:10
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 12:53
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.42%E -0.976%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 12:54
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:10
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -7.92%E -4.00%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 16:33
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -11.17%E -5.85%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.32%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Suprabets3.51I 28.49%NM 25.92%EV -9.10%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.18%EV -8.38%E -4.25%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 27.90%EV -10.04%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 17:42
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.06%E -3.00%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 12:54
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.06%E -3.00%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 12:55
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:10
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:10
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.31%E -4.78%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 15:14
theScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.31%E -4.78%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:10
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.32%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 12:55
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.32%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 12:54
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.32%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 12:50
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.32%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 12:50
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.06%EV -9.78%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 15:45
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.06%EV -9.78%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 15:45
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.31%E -4.78%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 14:45
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.31%E -4.78%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.32%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 17:40
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.31%E -4.78%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.45%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.31%E -4.78%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.45%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 17:15
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.31%E -4.78%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.45%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.31%E -4.78%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.45%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 17:15
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.17%E -5.85%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.70%E -3.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -14.89%E -8.14%K -17.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -20.53%E -7.13%K -10.92%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-02 12:00
Betclic (FR)3.47I 28.82%NM 26.66%EV -10.13%E -2.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.57%EV -5.59%E -2.75%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.78%EV -8.11%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 17:34
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -8.38%E -4.25%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:55
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.70%EV -7.45%E -3.74%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:00
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.70%E -3.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 17:40
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.17%E -5.85%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 11:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.39%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%2.4%2026-05-02 17:55