默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Paris FC v Lyon

2026-09-12 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

胜负盘

19 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Paris FC (主队)

预测 32.90%3.04公平赔率
EV -1.31%
优势 -0.435%
Kelly -0.653%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
31.72%32.91%32.88%34.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.812.803.0040.00%35.63%35.71%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

Lyon (客队)

预测 40.13%2.49公平赔率
EV -0.888%
优势 -0.360%
Kelly -0.604%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.47

博彩公司预测分布
38.88%40.13%40.03%40.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.322.302.4745.45%43.12%43.48%40.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.98%3.71公平赔率
EV -2.89%
优势 -0.802%
Kelly -1.11%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
25.97%26.96%27.08%27.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.433.403.6030.77%29.16%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Paris FC (主队):32.90%;Lyon (客队):40.13%;平局:26.98%。 对于“Lyon (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.49。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为2.47,期望值为-0.888%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%EV -1.31%E -0.435%K -0.653%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.85%EV -0.888%E -0.360%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%EV -2.89%E -0.802%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-30 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.84%EV -2.95%E -1.00%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.87%EV -2.49%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -4.24%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 18:35
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -2.95%E -1.00%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:25
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -2.95%E -1.00%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:25
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.60%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.59%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.60%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 18:25
William Hill🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 17:40
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.72%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.88%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.89%E -0.802%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:25
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.88%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.88%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.88%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.53%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.70%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.89%E -0.802%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.53%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -4.50%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.41%EV -10.52%E -3.87%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.86%EV -8.51%E -3.73%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 17:19
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.63%E -2.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -12.82%E -4.84%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -12.82%E -4.84%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -9.72%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.42%EV -17.75%E -7.10%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11%EV -11.72%E -5.33%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -12.33%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-30 17:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 32.39%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%5.0%2026-08-30 19:40
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 31.91%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%13.5%2026-08-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 24.86%2.22I 45.05%NM 31.58%1.61I 62.11%NM 43.55%42.6%2026-08-30 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 24.86%2.22I 45.05%NM 31.58%1.61I 62.11%NM 43.55%42.6%2026-08-30 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 21.99%1.57I 63.69%NM 39.50%1.61I 62.11%NM 38.51%61.3%2026-08-30 19:15