La escuela de los momios

Metz v Paris FC

Inicio: 2026-04-19 15:15 UTC

Final: Metz 1–3 Paris FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Metz (Local)

Predicción 30.93%3.23momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.317%
Kelly -0.461%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.68%30.98%31.09%32.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.053.2035.71%32.87%32.79%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Paris FC (Visitante)

Predicción 42.02%2.38momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -0.718%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.02%42.00%41.93%43.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.222.232.3450.00%45.00%44.84%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.05%3.70momio equitativo
EV +0.625%
Ventaja +0.168%
Kelly +0.230%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.93%27.02%26.98%28.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.513.503.7232.26%28.53%28.57%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.69%EV -4.62%E -2.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.05%EV +0.625%E +0.168%K +0.230%G +0.001%3.2%2026-04-19 15:05
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.30%EV -1.02%E -0.317%K -0.461%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.49%EV -6.30%E -2.83%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%EV +0.084%E +0.023%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 15:01
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.30%EV -1.02%E -0.317%K -0.461%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.49%EV -6.30%E -2.83%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%EV +0.084%E +0.023%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 15:05
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.30%EV -1.02%E -0.317%K -0.461%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.49%EV -6.30%E -2.83%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%EV +0.084%E +0.023%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 15:05
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 30.30%EV -1.02%E -0.317%K -0.461%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.49%EV -6.30%E -2.83%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%EV +0.084%E +0.023%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 15:05
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.30%EV -1.02%E -0.317%K -0.461%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.49%EV -6.30%E -2.83%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%EV +0.084%E +0.023%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 15:05
BetOnline.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.44%EV -9.37%E -3.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.51%EV -3.78%E -1.65%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -1.27%E -0.347%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 15:10
Marathon Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV -2.56%E -0.813%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -3.78%E -1.65%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -2.62%E -0.728%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 15:10
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.62%E -0.728%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 15:05
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.31%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.62%E -0.728%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 15:05
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.31%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.62%E -0.728%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 15:00
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.31%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.62%E -0.728%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 15:05
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.31%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.62%E -0.728%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 15:05
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.31%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.62%E -0.728%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 15:05
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.31%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.62%E -0.728%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 15:01
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.31%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.62%E -0.728%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 15:01
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.62%E -0.728%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 15:10
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.62%E -0.728%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 15:00
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.75%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.62%E -0.728%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 15:00
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 31.09%EV -3.18%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.58%EV -1.68%E -0.718%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.33%EV -3.70%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-19 15:01
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -1.02%E -0.317%K -0.461%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.57%EV -4.62%E -2.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 11:54
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 15:05
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 15:05
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.06%EV -5.04%E -2.23%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 15:10
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 15:05
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.27%EV -8.82%E -4.07%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:04
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -8.75%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 15:10
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -8.75%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 15:10
Betclic (FR)3.03I 33.00%NM 31.08%EV -6.27%E -2.07%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.24%EV -6.30%E -2.83%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.68%EV -4.51%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 15:05
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 15:00
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -8.75%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 15:00
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 12:10
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:50
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 15:00
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 15:05
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -10.92%E -5.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -10.92%E -5.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:00
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -11.76%E -5.60%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.95%EV -5.88%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.68%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 15:10
GTbets3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.51%EV -7.22%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 15:03
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -3.49%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 15:10
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 15:00
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 14:55
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 15:05
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 14:59
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 14:45
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 15:04
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 14:50
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 15:05
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.02%EV -8.13%E -2.74%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.39%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 14:55
Suprabets2.99I 33.44%NM 31.12%EV -7.51%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.53%EV -8.57%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:55
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 15:10
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 15:00
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 15:00
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 15:01
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -15.97%E -7.98%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -16.15%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-19 15:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-04-19 15:10
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-04-19 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-19 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-19 15:10
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-04-19 15:10
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.83%2.1%2026-04-19 15:10