La escuela de los momios

Auxerre v Strasbourg

Inicio: 2026-03-07 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Auxerre (Local)

Predicción 27.65%3.62momio equitativo
EV +4.51%
Ventaja +1.19%
Kelly +1.62%
Crecimiento +0.073%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.65%27.63%27.65%29.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.443.423.7831.25%29.05%29.20%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Strasbourg (Visitante)

Predicción 43.60%2.29momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.645%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.48%43.63%43.66%45.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.2650.00%46.74%46.62%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.75%3.48momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -0.663%
Kelly -0.940%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.40%28.74%28.69%30.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.283.303.4034.72%30.52%30.30%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.78I 26.46%NM 25.65%EV +4.51%E +1.19%K +1.62%G +0.073%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.31%EV -6.69%E -3.13%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.03%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 17:54
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%EV +0.917%E +0.251%K +0.346%G +0.003%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV -6.69%E -3.13%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -2.26%E -0.663%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%EV +0.917%E +0.251%K +0.346%G +0.003%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV -6.69%E -3.13%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -2.26%E -0.663%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 17:44
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%EV +0.917%E +0.251%K +0.346%G +0.003%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV -6.69%E -3.13%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -2.26%E -0.663%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 17:45
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%EV +0.917%E +0.251%K +0.346%G +0.003%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV -6.69%E -3.13%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -2.26%E -0.663%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 17:44
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%EV +0.917%E +0.251%K +0.346%G +0.003%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV -6.69%E -3.13%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -2.26%E -0.663%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 17:45
Marathon Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -0.465%E -0.129%K -0.179%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.02%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 17:55
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -0.465%E -0.129%K -0.179%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 17:39
Pinnacle3.55I 28.17%NM 27.42%EV -1.85%E -0.520%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.08%EV -1.46%E -0.645%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 17:44
LowVig.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -1.85%E -0.520%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -2.26%E -0.663%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 17:30
BetOnline.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -1.85%E -0.520%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -2.26%E -0.663%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 17:30
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -1.85%E -0.520%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 17:55
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -1.85%E -0.520%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.31%E -4.47%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 17:39
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -1.85%E -0.520%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.31%E -4.47%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 17:39
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -1.85%E -0.520%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.31%E -4.47%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 17:40
Bally Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -1.85%E -0.520%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.31%E -4.47%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 17:39
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -1.85%E -0.520%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.31%E -4.47%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 17:39
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -1.85%E -0.520%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -9.74%E -4.71%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 17:40
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.23%E -0.923%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.44%EV -2.83%E -0.837%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 17:54
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.23%E -0.923%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 17:34
Caesars3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.23%E -0.923%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:34
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.23%E -0.923%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -6.69%E -3.13%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 17:55
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.23%E -0.923%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 17:55
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.23%E -0.923%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 17:55
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.23%E -0.923%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 17:55
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.23%E -0.923%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 17:55
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.23%E -0.923%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 17:54
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.61%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 17:34
Parions Sport (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -4.61%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -3.69%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 17:49
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -4.61%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -11.92%E -5.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 17:40
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 17:54
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 17:44
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 17:44
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 17:34
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 17:54
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 17:54
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.26%E -0.663%K -0.940%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 17:44
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 17:50
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 17:34
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 17:55
TAB3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 17:54
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 17:54
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -9.74%E -4.71%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 17:45
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -9.74%E -4.71%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 17:44
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -7.38%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.63%EV -3.20%E -1.44%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 17:34
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -7.38%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.26%E -0.663%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 17:55
GTbets3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -7.65%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 17:45
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 17:29
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 17:45
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.26%E -0.663%K -0.940%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 17:54
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -3.69%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 17:55
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -12.79%E -6.40%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -17.20%E -5.97%K -9.15%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-07 17:55
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -2.26%E -0.663%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 17:45
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -2.26%E -0.663%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 17:54
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:44
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:45
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 17:33
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-03-07 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-03-07 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-07 17:54
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-03-07 17:50
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-03-07 17:54
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-03-07 17:35