La escuela de los momiosEspañol
TPS Turku v Jaro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
TPS Turku (Local)
Predicción 46.18%2.17momio equitativo
EV -0.716%
Ventaja -0.333%
Kelly -0.622%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.62%46.08%46.27%47.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.032.022.1552.36%49.30%49.50%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jaro (Visitante)
Predicción 26.82%3.73momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.352%
Kelly -0.483%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.40%26.94%26.69%28.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.353.353.6832.79%29.89%29.85%27.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.00%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -0.702%
Kelly -0.970%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.20%26.98%27.04%27.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.363.303.6131.25%29.74%30.30%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -0.716%E -0.333%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.52%EV -10.68%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.30%EV -6.04%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 12:39 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -3.02%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -3.02%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -3.02%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -3.02%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -3.02%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -3.02%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -3.02%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -3.02%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -3.02%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.95%E -1.90%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -3.95%E -1.90%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -15.51%E -4.92%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -3.95%E -1.90%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -15.51%E -4.92%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -4.41%E -2.13%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -15.51%E -4.92%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -4.41%E -2.13%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -15.51%E -4.92%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -4.41%E -2.13%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -15.51%E -4.92%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.94%EV -4.87%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.28%EV -1.30%E -0.352%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV -2.53%E -0.702%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.87%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -2.10%E -0.575%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 14:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-27 15:50 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.85%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.85%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.33%E -2.60%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -5.80%E -2.84%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.06%EV -7.20%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.06%EV -6.58%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-27 15:48 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-27 15:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-27 15:49 |
| BetAnything | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-27 15:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-27 15:38 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -7.18%E -3.57%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -6.58%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-27 15:49 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.64%E -3.82%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -7.64%E -3.82%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.64%E -3.82%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.64%E -3.82%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.64%E -3.82%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.64%E -3.82%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.64%E -3.82%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.64%E -3.82%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -7.64%E -3.82%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -7.64%E -3.82%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -7.64%E -3.82%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -7.64%E -3.82%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85%EV -7.64%E -3.82%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -18.19%E -5.96%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.57%E -4.33%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.95%E -5.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.95%E -5.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.95%E -5.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -9.95%E -5.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.88%E -5.63%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-27 15:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.45%EV -11.34%E -5.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.80%E -6.18%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -11.80%E -6.18%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.9% | 2026-06-27 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70% | 1.2% | 2026-06-27 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70% | 1.2% | 2026-06-27 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70% | 1.2% | 2026-06-27 15:50 |