La escuela de los momios

SJK Seinäjoki v Jaro

Inicio: 2026-04-24 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SJK Seinäjoki (Local)

Predicción 53.98%1.85momio equitativo
EV -3.92%
Ventaja -2.20%
Kelly -5.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.32%53.97%53.96%56.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.701.691.7863.69%58.88%59.00%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jaro (Visitante)

Predicción 21.88%4.57momio equitativo
EV +1.76%
Ventaja +0.379%
Kelly +0.483%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.65%21.90%21.88%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.214.204.6526.67%23.77%23.81%21.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.14%4.14momio equitativo
EV +1.37%
Ventaja +0.327%
Kelly +0.429%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.86%24.14%24.17%25.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.773.804.2031.25%26.49%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.49%EV -8.24%E -4.84%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV +1.76%E +0.379%K +0.483%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%EV +1.37%E +0.327%K +0.429%G +0.006%4.1%2026-04-19 12:20
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.24%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.57%EV -2.61%E -0.587%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.18%EV -4.18%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:40
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 54.96%EV -7.70%E -4.50%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.71%E -0.843%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.67%EV -4.18%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 05:44
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.86%E -5.90%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.71%E -0.843%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:25
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.86%E -5.90%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.71%E -0.843%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:29
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.86%E -5.90%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.71%E -0.843%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:29
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.86%E -5.90%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.71%E -0.843%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:30
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.86%E -5.90%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.71%E -0.843%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:29
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.86%E -5.90%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.71%E -0.843%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:29
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.86%E -5.90%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.71%E -0.843%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:29
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.86%E -5.90%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.71%E -0.843%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:25
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.86%E -5.90%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.71%E -0.843%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:29
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 54.99%EV -10.39%E -6.26%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -4.80%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 07:49
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 54.99%EV -10.39%E -6.26%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -4.80%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.99%EV -10.39%E -6.26%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -4.80%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 07:29
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.99%EV -10.39%E -6.26%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -4.80%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 08:00
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.99%EV -10.39%E -6.26%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -4.80%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 08:00
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.23%EV -7.16%E -4.16%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.07%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 02:49
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.75%EV -5.00%E -2.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -5.87%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 03:05
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.75%EV -5.00%E -2.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -5.87%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 03:05
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 53.75%EV -5.00%E -2.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -5.87%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 03:05
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -4.66%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 16:04
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -8.78%E -5.19%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -3.45%E -0.864%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:09
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -9.86%E -5.90%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -5.90%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.87%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:04
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.83%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.84%EV -6.12%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -7.07%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 02:55
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.62%EV -8.78%E -5.19%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.99%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -5.87%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 16:09
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -5.87%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 03:29
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -5.87%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 03:25
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -6.62%E -3.82%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.87%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 11:25
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 13:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.54%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 21:35
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.54%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 21:39
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.54%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 21:35
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.54%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 21:35
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -10.39%E -6.26%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -3.45%E -0.864%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 16:09
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -10.93%E -6.63%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 16:08
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.97%EV -13.63%E -8.52%K -22.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -11.90%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 07:30
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -3.92%E -2.20%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -9.18%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.70%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:39
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -3.92%E -2.20%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -9.18%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.70%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:39
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 53.87%EV -8.24%E -4.84%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -7.07%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 16:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -8.24%E -4.84%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.49%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 21:19
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -9.32%E -5.54%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 16:09
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -5.54%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.49%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:25
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.16%E -4.16%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -11.90%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 22:39
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.86%E -5.90%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.49%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 21:10
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.86%E -5.90%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.49%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 10:49
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.86%E -5.90%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -12.46%E -3.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-24 03:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.24%E -4.84%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 10:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.24%E -4.84%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 10:40
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.24%E -4.84%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 10:39
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.24%E -4.84%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 10:38
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -9.86%E -5.90%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -16.84%E -4.43%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 10:14
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.32%EV -10.93%E -6.63%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -17.93%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.66%EV -15.52%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 52.38%EV -15.25%E -9.72%K -26.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.93%EV -17.93%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.70%EV -22.76%E -7.11%K -10.35%G +0.000%21.6%2026-04-23 16:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 53.78%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47%2.2%2026-04-24 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 53.78%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47%2.2%2026-04-24 02:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 53.78%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47%2.2%2026-04-24 02:40