La escuela de los momios

SJK Seinäjoki v AC Oulu

Inicio: 2026-05-23 14:00 UTC

Final: SJK Seinäjoki 0–1 AC Oulu

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SJK Seinäjoki (Local)

Predicción 38.85%2.57momio equitativo
EV +1.02%
Ventaja +0.392%
Kelly +0.637%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.99%38.84%38.79%40.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.382.402.6046.51%41.96%41.67%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AC Oulu (Visitante)

Predicción 34.67%2.88momio equitativo
EV -0.850%
Ventaja -0.297%
Kelly -0.457%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.81%34.68%34.75%36.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.642.602.8640.00%37.87%38.46%34.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.48%3.78momio equitativo
EV -0.970%
Ventaja -0.259%
Kelly -0.354%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.61%26.48%26.46%28.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.423.403.7434.72%29.24%29.41%26.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%EV +1.02%E +0.392%K +0.637%G +0.006%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -8.13%E -3.07%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 09:21
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -4.42%E -1.80%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.82%EV -5.70%E -2.10%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -6.00%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 13:39
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -4.42%E -1.80%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.82%EV -5.70%E -2.10%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -6.00%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 13:39
BetAnything2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -4.42%E -1.80%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.82%EV -5.70%E -2.10%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -6.00%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 13:39
GTbets2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -4.42%E -1.80%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.13%EV -7.09%E -2.65%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.60%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 13:10
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -4.81%E -1.96%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 18:25
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -4.81%E -1.96%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 18:20
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -4.81%E -1.96%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -4.81%E -1.96%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -4.81%E -1.96%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 18:25
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -4.81%E -1.96%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 18:20
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -4.81%E -1.96%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 18:20
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -4.81%E -1.96%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 18:20
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -4.81%E -1.96%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 18:20
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -5.59%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -5.59%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 18:20
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -5.59%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 18:20
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -5.59%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 18:25
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -5.59%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 18:20
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69%EV -5.97%E -2.47%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.94%EV -7.09%E -2.65%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.00%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 13:49
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69%EV -5.97%E -2.47%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.94%EV -7.09%E -2.65%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.00%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 13:49
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.31%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.83%EV -0.850%E -0.297%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.87%EV -0.970%E -0.259%K -0.354%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 13:39
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -2.93%E -1.05%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -6.00%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 13:39
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.66%E -1.70%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:40
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.66%E -1.70%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:49
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -4.66%E -1.70%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 13:09
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -7.09%E -2.65%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 13:49
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -7.09%E -2.65%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 13:49
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.40%E -2.37%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 13:39
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 13:50
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:29
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.53%E -3.16%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.40%E -2.37%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 13:09
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.53%E -3.16%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.40%E -2.37%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 13:10
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.53%E -3.16%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.40%E -2.37%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 13:09
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.53%E -3.16%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.40%E -2.37%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 13:10
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.53%E -3.16%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.17%E -3.50%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 12:48
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.69%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -8.13%E -3.07%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 13:49
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.69%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.13%E -3.07%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 13:39
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -8.69%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.60%E -4.55%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 13:50
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.69%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 13:49
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -8.69%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -13.33%E -5.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -15.27%E -4.77%K -6.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-16 18:20
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.64%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.40%E -2.37%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 13:39
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.64%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -8.13%E -3.07%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 13:49
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.64%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.17%E -3.50%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 13:49
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.64%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 12:29
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.64%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 13:50
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.64%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.64%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.62%E -3.82%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 13:39
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.64%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.62%E -3.82%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 13:39
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.64%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.62%E -3.82%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.64%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.86%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.62%E -3.82%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 13:39
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -14.52%E -6.60%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -13.33%E -5.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-23 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -14.52%E -6.60%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.28%EV -13.33%E -5.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.89%EV -23.74%E -8.24%K -12.63%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-23 13:39
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -16.47%E -7.66%K -14.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -8.13%E -3.07%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -13.94%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-23 13:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.34%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-05-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.24%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-05-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.24%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-05-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.24%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-05-23 13:50