La escuela de los momios

KuPS Kuopio v SJK Seinäjoki

Inicio: 2026-05-08 17:02 UTC

Final: KuPS Kuopio 0–0 SJK Seinäjoki

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Predicción 52.27%1.91momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -3.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.94%52.59%52.25%57.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.731.751.8662.50%57.65%57.14%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SJK Seinäjoki (Visitante)

Predicción 22.73%4.40momio equitativo
EV +11.36%
Ventaja +2.32%
Kelly +2.91%
Crecimiento +0.331%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.60%22.52%22.86%24.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.124.104.9027.78%24.25%24.39%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.00%4.00momio equitativo
EV +5.00%
Ventaja +1.19%
Kelly +1.56%
Crecimiento +0.078%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.87%24.89%24.89%26.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.683.704.2032.26%27.17%27.03%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.52%EV -12.70%E -7.61%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.60%EV +11.36%E +2.32%K +2.91%G +0.331%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87%EV +5.00%E +1.19%K +1.56%G +0.078%4.1%2026-05-08 16:59
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -12.70%E -7.61%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 16:59
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -12.70%E -7.61%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -12.70%E -7.61%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 16:50
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -12.70%E -7.61%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 16:50
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -12.70%E -7.61%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 16:59
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -12.70%E -7.61%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 16:50
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -12.70%E -7.61%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:00
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -12.70%E -7.61%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:00
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -12.70%E -7.61%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 16:50
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 55.12%EV -13.22%E -7.97%K -20.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.12%EV -13.22%E -7.97%K -20.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 16:59
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -13.75%E -8.33%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -13.75%E -8.33%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 16:59
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -13.75%E -8.33%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 16:50
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.52%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.58%EV -2.73%E -0.639%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV -3.00%E -0.773%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-08 16:59
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.10%EV -16.36%E -10.23%K -27.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.74%EV -3.42%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.15%EV -8.75%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-08 16:50
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 16:53
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.52%E -4.87%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 17:00
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -8.52%E -4.87%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 16:59
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.52%E -4.87%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 16:59
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.52%E -4.87%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 16:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.52%E -4.87%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.52%E -4.87%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 16:59
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 51.80%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.79%EV -5.46%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 16:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.83%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 16:59
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.83%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.25%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 16:59
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.52%E -4.87%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.83%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 16:59
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.95%E -3.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.88%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.69%EV -5.50%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 16:59
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 50.82%EV -2.77%E -1.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 50.82%EV -2.77%E -1.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 17:00
BetAnything1.86I 53.76%NM 50.82%EV -2.77%E -1.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.25%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 16:59
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -9.04%E -5.20%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.25%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -9.04%E -5.20%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.25%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 16:59
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 17:00
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.52%E -4.87%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 16:59
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 16:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 16:59
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 16:59
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 17:00
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -10.09%E -5.87%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -11.37%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 16:59
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -11.37%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.00%E -4.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-08 17:00
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -13.64%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.51%EV -13.22%E -7.97%K -20.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -13.64%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.55%EV -11.25%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-08 16:59
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 50.93%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -14.78%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-08 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.52%E -4.87%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.78%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.52%E -4.87%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.78%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 17:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.52%E -4.87%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.78%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 16:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.52%E -4.87%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.78%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 16:59
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -11.13%E -6.55%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -14.78%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-08 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.94%EV -12.70%E -7.61%K -18.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.16%EV -18.19%E -5.05%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.90%EV -22.50%E -7.26%K -10.71%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-08 17:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-05-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-05-08 16:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-05-08 17:00
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.07%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%1.3%2026-05-08 17:00