L’École des cotes

KuPS Kuopio v Jaro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 16:00 UTC

Score final : KuPS Kuopio 3–0 Jaro

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prévision 63.02%1.59cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -2.77%
Kelly -8.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.19%63.18%63.02%65.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.451.451.5274.07%69.04%68.97%65.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jaro (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.78%6.34cote équitable
EV +6.53%
Avantage +0.968%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.074%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.44%15.59%15.81%17.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.256.025.806.7519.05%16.60%17.24%14.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.19%4.72cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -0.592%
Kelly -0.757%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.73%21.24%21.17%22.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.324.354.5925.00%23.16%22.99%21.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -11.14%E -7.90%K -27.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +6.53%E +0.968%K +1.14%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 14:00
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -11.14%E -7.90%K -27.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +6.53%E +0.968%K +1.14%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 13:59
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -11.14%E -7.90%K -27.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +6.53%E +0.968%K +1.14%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 13:59
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -11.14%E -7.90%K -27.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +6.53%E +0.968%K +1.14%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 13:59
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -11.14%E -7.90%K -27.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +6.53%E +0.968%K +1.14%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 14:00
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -11.14%E -7.90%K -27.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +6.53%E +0.968%K +1.14%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 13:59
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -11.14%E -7.90%K -27.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +6.53%E +0.968%K +1.14%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 13:59
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -11.14%E -7.90%K -27.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +6.53%E +0.968%K +1.14%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 14:00
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -11.14%E -7.90%K -27.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +6.53%E +0.968%K +1.14%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 13:59
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -11.77%E -8.41%K -29.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV +6.53%E +0.968%K +1.14%G +0.074%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -7.80%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -11.77%E -8.41%K -29.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV +6.53%E +0.968%K +1.14%G +0.074%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -7.80%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 13:59
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.72%EV -13.03%E -9.44%K -34.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV +6.53%E +0.968%K +1.14%G +0.074%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -7.80%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-20 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.72%EV -13.03%E -9.44%K -34.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV +6.53%E +0.968%K +1.14%G +0.074%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -7.80%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-20 14:00
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 65.72%EV -13.03%E -9.44%K -34.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV +6.53%E +0.968%K +1.14%G +0.074%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -7.80%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-20 14:00
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.08%EV -5.47%E -3.64%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV +2.59%E +0.398%K +0.470%G +0.012%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.13%EV -3.56%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 15:20
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -8.62%E -5.94%K -19.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +2.59%E +0.398%K +0.470%G +0.012%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 15:49
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.40%EV -14.92%E -11.05%K -42.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.398%K +0.470%G +0.012%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -10.98%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-20 14:00
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92%EV -4.84%E -3.20%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 15.06%EV +1.16%E +0.182%K +0.215%G +0.003%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.03%EV -2.72%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-20 15:40
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.47%E -3.64%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -5.31%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.62%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:30
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -8.62%E -5.94%K -19.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -5.31%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -9.92%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -8.62%E -5.94%K -19.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -5.31%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -9.92%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 13:59
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -9.25%E -6.42%K -21.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -5.31%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -8.23%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:50
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.77%E -8.41%K -29.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -5.31%E -0.884%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.98%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-20 15:40
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -6.10%E -4.09%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -6.88%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.92%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 15:29
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -6.10%E -4.09%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -6.88%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.92%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 15:50
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 62.53%EV -5.47%E -3.64%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 15.95%EV -7.20%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.51%EV -7.59%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 15:50
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.36%EV -4.84%E -3.20%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.24%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 15:50
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.36%EV -4.84%E -3.20%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.24%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 15:50
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 62.36%EV -4.84%E -3.20%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.24%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 15:50
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.98%EV -6.73%E -4.54%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -5.68%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 15:50
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -8.62%E -5.94%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-20 15:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -9.25%E -6.42%K -21.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -8.46%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.98%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-20 15:50
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.47%E -3.64%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 15:40
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -6.73%E -4.54%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.62%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 15:40
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -8.62%E -5.94%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -8.23%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 15:40
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.76%EV -8.62%E -5.94%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -9.92%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-20 15:00
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.25%E -6.42%K -21.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.98%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-20 15:50
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.25%E -6.42%K -21.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.98%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-20 15:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.25%E -6.42%K -21.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.98%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-20 15:50
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.76%EV -11.77%E -8.41%K -29.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.25%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -15.22%E -3.81%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-20 15:50
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 62.08%EV -4.21%E -2.77%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.61%EV -10.36%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.30%EV -6.11%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 15:00
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -4.84%E -3.20%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -11.62%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 15:50
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -6.73%E -4.54%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.23%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 15:30
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -6.73%E -4.54%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -13.10%E -3.20%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-20 15:40
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -8.62%E -5.94%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.98%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-20 15:49
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.25%E -6.42%K -21.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.98%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-20 13:59
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -11.77%E -8.41%K -29.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -15.22%E -3.81%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-20 15:39
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -4.21%E -2.77%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.47%EV -15.72%E -2.94%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.15%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 15:50
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.61%EV -12.40%E -8.92%K -31.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.42%EV -16.35%E -3.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.97%EV -12.04%E -2.90%K -3.82%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-20 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.73%E -4.54%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -17.14%E -3.27%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.98%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-20 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.73%E -4.54%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -17.14%E -3.27%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.98%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-20 15:40
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.73%E -4.54%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -17.14%E -3.27%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.98%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-20 15:40
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.73%E -4.54%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -17.14%E -3.27%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.98%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-20 15:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.73%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39%0.1%2026-05-20 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-05-20 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-05-20 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-05-20 15:50