La escuela de los momios

KuPS Kuopio v FC Lahti

Inicio: 2026-05-23 14:00 UTC

Final: KuPS Kuopio 2–1 FC Lahti

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Predicción 61.82%1.62momio equitativo
EV -4.79%
Ventaja -3.11%
Kelly -8.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.51%61.88%61.89%63.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.491.501.5471.43%66.91%66.67%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Lahti (Visitante)

Predicción 15.57%6.42momio equitativo
EV +2.16%
Ventaja +0.330%
Kelly +0.389%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.15%15.42%15.59%17.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.255.865.806.5619.05%17.06%17.24%15.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.60%4.42momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.281%
Kelly -0.365%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.02%22.70%22.52%24.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.983.954.3728.57%25.12%25.32%22.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.31%EV -6.03%E -3.97%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.67%EV +2.16%E +0.330%K +0.389%G +0.008%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.02%EV -1.23%E -0.281%K -0.365%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 13:39
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.36%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.77%EV +1.23%E +0.189%K +0.224%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87%EV -5.07%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 13:30
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -10.36%E -7.14%K -23.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.23%E +0.189%K +0.224%G +0.003%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.33%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 13:49
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -10.36%E -7.14%K -23.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.23%E +0.189%K +0.224%G +0.003%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.33%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 13:49
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.46%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 14.97%EV -2.51%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.58%EV -6.20%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 13:49
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -10.36%E -7.14%K -23.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -2.66%E -0.426%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.59%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 13:38
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.38%EV -6.65%E -4.40%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.19%EV -3.44%E -0.555%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.07%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 13:39
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.38%EV -6.65%E -4.40%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.19%EV -3.44%E -0.555%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.07%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 13:39
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 62.38%EV -6.65%E -4.40%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.19%EV -3.44%E -0.555%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.07%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 13:39
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 62.38%EV -6.65%E -4.40%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.19%EV -3.44%E -0.555%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.07%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 13:39
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.14%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -5.78%E -0.955%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -6.20%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 13:39
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -6.65%E -4.40%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.07%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 13:20
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -6.03%E -3.97%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -7.33%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 13:49
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.07%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 13:19
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.59%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 13:39
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.59%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 13:39
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.59%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 13:39
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.59%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 13:39
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.59%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 13:19
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 62.43%EV -13.45%E -9.60%K -33.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.57%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.00%EV -14.11%E -3.71%K -5.04%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-23 13:50
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.03%E -3.97%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -8.11%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -6.20%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 13:19
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.03%E -3.97%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -8.11%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -6.20%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 13:20
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 60.44%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -9.67%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.51%EV -10.50%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 13:29
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -6.03%E -3.97%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -9.67%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 13:50
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -6.65%E -4.40%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -9.67%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -10.72%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 13:49
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -6.65%E -4.40%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -9.67%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -10.72%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 13:49
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -6.65%E -4.40%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -9.67%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -10.72%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 13:49
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -6.65%E -4.40%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -9.67%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -10.72%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 13:49
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -6.65%E -4.40%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -9.67%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -10.72%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 13:49
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -6.65%E -4.40%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -9.67%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -10.72%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 13:50
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -6.65%E -4.40%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -9.67%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -10.72%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 13:49
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -6.65%E -4.40%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -9.67%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -10.72%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 13:49
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -9.67%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -11.85%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 13:49
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -9.67%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -11.85%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -9.67%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -11.85%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 13:50
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -9.67%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -11.85%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 13:46
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -9.67%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -11.85%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 13:49
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.45%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.33%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 13:19
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -10.45%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -11.85%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 13:29
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.46%EV -6.03%E -3.97%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -10.45%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.85%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 13:29
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.45%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.59%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 13:09
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.45%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.85%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 13:18
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -10.45%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -14.11%E -3.71%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 13:19
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -10.45%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.11%E -3.71%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-23 13:09
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.93%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.67%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -15.24%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 13:49
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -8.50%E -5.74%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -14.34%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.59%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 13:39
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.34%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -15.24%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 13:19
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -14.34%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -9.59%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.44%EV -13.45%E -9.60%K -33.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.38%EV -14.34%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.18%EV -20.89%E -5.97%K -8.36%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-23 13:49
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.28%EV -12.21%E -8.60%K -29.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.11%EV -15.90%E -2.94%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.60%EV -12.98%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-23 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.47%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.11%E -3.71%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-23 13:19
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.47%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.11%E -3.71%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-23 13:19
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.47%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.11%E -3.71%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-23 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.47%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.11%E -3.71%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-23 13:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-05-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.94%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-05-23 13:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.94%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-05-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.94%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-05-23 13:39