La escuela de los momios

Ilves Tampere v SJK Seinäjoki

Inicio: 2026-06-27 11:00 UTC

Final: Ilves Tampere 2–2 SJK Seinäjoki

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Predicción 43.15%2.32momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -0.902%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%42.98%43.43%43.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.162.2750.00%46.13%46.30%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SJK Seinäjoki (Visitante)

Predicción 31.89%3.14momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.681%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.77%31.97%31.78%33.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.842.803.0737.74%35.15%35.71%32.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.96%4.01momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.359%
Kelly -0.480%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.19%25.05%24.78%27.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.593.553.9533.33%27.85%28.17%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -2.05%E -0.902%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.05%EV -8.47%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.16%EV -5.91%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 01:39
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 08:39
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.09%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.42%E -0.359%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 08:49
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 10:39
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 10:39
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 10:39
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 10:39
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 10:39
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 10:39
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 10:39
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 10:39
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 10:38
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 10:39
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.73%EV -4.64%E -2.10%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.48%EV -2.09%E -0.681%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.78%EV -2.67%E -0.683%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-27 10:50
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.38%EV -4.64%E -2.10%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.53%EV -5.28%E -1.78%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -10.40%E -2.90%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 10:50
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 10:48
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 10:49
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 09:50
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 10:10
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 10:09
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-26 10:39
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-26 10:39
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-26 10:39
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.92%EV -6.80%E -3.15%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -2.73%E -0.895%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:39
BetAnything2.16I 46.30%NM 43.92%EV -6.80%E -3.15%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -2.73%E -0.895%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:39
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 10:29
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 08:59
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-27 10:40
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-27 10:39
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-27 10:40
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-27 10:39
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-27 10:09
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-27 09:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-27 09:50
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-27 09:49
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-27 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-27 09:49
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.60%EV -7.66%E -3.58%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -6.56%E -2.24%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 10:29
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.03%EV -7.66%E -3.58%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.14%EV -15.49%E -5.84%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -15.14%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-26 10:39
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 10:50
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-27 10:09
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 10:48
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-27 10:29
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-27 08:50
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -9.11%E -3.20%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-27 10:49
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 08:50
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 08:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.89%E -5.15%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -15.14%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000%15.2%2026-06-27 10:39
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.55%EV -13.70%E -6.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -13.89%E -5.15%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.19%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-27 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.54%EV -13.70%E -6.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -13.89%E -5.15%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.69%EV -25.13%E -8.38%K -12.56%G +0.000%20.4%2026-06-27 08:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-06-27 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-06-27 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-06-27 10:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-06-27 10:40