La escuela de los momios

IFK Mariehamn v FC Inter Turku

Inicio: 2026-06-27 14:00 UTC

Final: IFK Mariehamn 0–2 FC Inter Turku

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Predicción 10.32%9.69momio equitativo
EV +6.99%
Ventaja +0.674%
Kelly +0.746%
Crecimiento +0.052%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.28%10.35%10.24%12.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.508.508.5010.3713.33%11.76%11.76%9.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Inter Turku (Visitante)

Predicción 72.58%1.38momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -2.05%
Kelly -8.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.44%72.40%72.62%74.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.291.291.3483.33%77.54%77.52%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 17.11%5.85momio equitativo
EV +2.30%
Ventaja +0.384%
Kelly +0.461%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.10%17.25%17.14%19.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.115.005.9822.22%19.56%20.00%16.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle10.37I 9.64%NM 9.28%EV +6.99%E +0.674%K +0.746%G +0.052%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.62%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 16.10%EV +2.30%E +0.384%K +0.461%G +0.011%3.9%2026-06-27 13:50
NordicBet9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV +1.11%E +0.113%K +0.126%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -7.62%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 13:49
Betsson9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV +1.11%E +0.113%K +0.126%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -7.62%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 13:49
DraftKings9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -1.99%E -0.209%K -0.234%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.91%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 13:48
FanDuel9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -1.99%E -0.209%K -0.234%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -7.83%E -6.16%K -28.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -4.20%E -0.750%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 13:50
Coolbet9.30I 10.75%NM 10.33%EV -4.05%E -0.436%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.81%EV -4.20%E -3.18%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.86%EV -2.49%E -0.437%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 09:49
Marathon Bet9.30I 10.75%NM 10.03%EV -4.05%E -0.436%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.86%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -6.77%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 13:49
LowVig.ag9.20I 10.87%NM 10.23%EV -5.08%E -0.552%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.54%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -0.781%E -0.135%K -0.163%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 13:49
BetOnline.ag9.20I 10.87%NM 10.23%EV -5.08%E -0.552%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.54%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -0.781%E -0.135%K -0.163%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 13:49
BetAnything9.20I 10.87%NM 10.23%EV -5.08%E -0.552%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.54%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -0.781%E -0.135%K -0.163%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 13:49
Unibet (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.15%E -0.794%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.91%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 13:49
PointsBet (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -7.15%E -0.794%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -14.47%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 13:50
Bet Victor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -7.15%E -0.794%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -14.47%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 13:49
Tipico (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -7.15%E -0.794%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -7.83%E -6.16%K -28.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -9.33%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-27 13:49
Everygame9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -7.15%E -0.794%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -9.28%E -7.42%K -37.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -10.19%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 13:49
SportsBet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -7.15%E -0.794%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -9.28%E -7.42%K -37.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.47%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-27 13:19
BetMGM8.75I 11.43%NM 10.79%EV -9.73%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.05%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.91%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 13:49
Bovada8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -9.73%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -7.62%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 13:49
1xBet8.63I 11.59%NM 10.80%EV -10.96%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.49%EV -8.82%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-27 13:49
GTbets8.52I 11.74%NM 11.08%EV -12.10%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.45%EV -2.75%E -2.05%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.47%EV -12.58%E -2.46%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 13:49
BetUS8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -12.30%E -1.45%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.60%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -7.62%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-27 13:49
Betway8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -12.30%E -1.45%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.64%E -0.285%K -0.345%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:50
888sport8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.30%E -1.45%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.47%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-27 13:40
William Hill8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.30%E -1.45%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.47%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-27 13:40
Mr Green (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.30%E -1.45%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.47%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-27 13:40
888sport (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.30%E -1.45%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.47%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-27 13:39
Bet Right8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -12.30%E -1.45%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.47%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 13:49
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -12.30%E -1.45%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -14.47%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-27 13:50
Betr (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -12.30%E -1.45%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.83%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -16.18%E -3.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-27 13:49
betfred_uk8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -12.30%E -1.45%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.82%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -21.31%E -4.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-27 13:49
Paddy Power8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -12.30%E -1.45%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -11.46%E -9.39%K -52.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -14.47%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-27 13:20
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -17.46%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -4.20%E -3.18%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -17.89%E -3.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-25 12:39
Casumo8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -17.46%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -4.20%E -3.18%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -17.89%E -3.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-25 12:40
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -17.46%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -4.20%E -3.18%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -17.89%E -3.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-25 12:39
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -17.46%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -4.20%E -3.18%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -17.89%E -3.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-25 12:40
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -17.46%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -4.20%E -3.18%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -17.89%E -3.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-25 12:40
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -17.46%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -4.20%E -3.18%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -17.89%E -3.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-25 12:40
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -17.46%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -4.20%E -3.18%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -17.89%E -3.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-25 12:40
ATG (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -17.46%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -4.20%E -3.18%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -17.89%E -3.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-25 12:40
Svenska Spel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -17.46%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -4.20%E -3.18%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -17.89%E -3.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-25 12:40
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -17.46%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -17.89%E -3.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-26 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -17.46%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -17.89%E -3.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-26 02:10
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -17.46%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -17.89%E -3.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-26 02:10
BetRivers8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -17.46%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -17.89%E -3.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-26 02:10
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -17.46%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -17.89%E -3.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-26 02:10
BoyleSports8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -17.46%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -9.28%E -7.42%K -37.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -5.91%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-27 13:49
Sky Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.46%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -9.28%E -7.42%K -37.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -14.47%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-27 13:20
PMU (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.00%EV -17.46%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 69.86%EV -8.55%E -6.79%K -32.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -21.31%E -4.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-25 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 10.59%EV -17.46%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 70.59%EV -12.91%E -10.76%K -64.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.82%EV -23.02%E -5.12%K -6.58%G +0.000%18.1%2026-06-27 13:49
Unibet (FR)7.70I 12.99%NM 11.28%EV -20.56%E -2.67%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 70.62%EV -10.73%E -8.72%K -46.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.10%EV -17.89%E -3.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%15.1%2026-06-27 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -22.62%E -3.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -14.47%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 13:49
Neds7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -22.62%E -3.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -14.47%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 13:50
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -22.62%E -3.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -14.47%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-27 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -22.62%E -3.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -14.47%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-27 13:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.98%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05%0.5%2026-06-27 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.73%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00%0.8%2026-06-27 13:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.73%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00%0.8%2026-06-27 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.73%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00%0.8%2026-06-27 13:50