La escuela de los momios

IFK Mariehamn v AC Oulu

Inicio: 2026-07-25 13:30 UTC

Final: IFK Mariehamn 1–1 AC Oulu

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Predicción 16.08%6.22momio equitativo
EV +0.519%
Ventaja +0.083%
Kelly +0.099%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.37%16.17%16.14%17.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.655.756.2520.00%17.70%17.39%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AC Oulu (Visitante)

Predicción 62.47%1.60momio equitativo
EV -4.42%
Ventaja -2.89%
Kelly -8.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.68%62.29%62.49%63.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.471.471.5371.43%67.81%68.03%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.45%4.66momio equitativo
EV -3.27%
Ventaja -0.725%
Kelly -0.931%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.99%21.54%21.37%22.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.234.204.5125.00%23.65%23.81%22.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%EV +0.519%E +0.083%K +0.099%G +0.001%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.79%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -5.63%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 13:20
Pinnacle6.19I 16.16%NM 15.58%EV -0.446%E -0.072%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.38%EV -3.27%E -0.725%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-25 13:20
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.50%E -0.584%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.48%E -0.774%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 13:25
BetOnline.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -3.50%E -0.584%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -6.92%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.63%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 13:25
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -3.50%E -0.584%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -6.92%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.63%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 13:25
BetAnything6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -3.50%E -0.584%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -6.92%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.63%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 13:25
1xBet5.93I 16.86%NM 15.79%EV -4.63%E -0.780%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.77%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 13:24
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -5.11%E -0.866%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -6.92%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.85%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 13:15
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -5.11%E -0.866%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -6.92%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.85%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 13:15
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -6.72%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -5.63%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 13:14
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -6.72%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 10:34
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -6.72%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 10:35
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -6.72%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 10:35
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -6.72%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 10:35
TABtouch5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -6.72%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 10:34
Grosvenor5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -6.72%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 10:35
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -6.72%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 10:34
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -6.72%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 10:35
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -6.72%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 10:35
LiveScore Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -6.72%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 10:35
Virgin Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -6.72%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 10:35
BetRivers5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -6.72%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -6.72%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 10:35
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -7.52%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.63%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 13:24
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -7.52%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.63%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 13:20
Marathon Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -7.52%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -6.92%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.63%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 13:20
Everygame5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -7.52%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 13:24
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -7.52%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 13:25
betano_uk5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -7.52%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 13:24
PlayUp5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -7.52%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -12.06%E -2.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 13:15
GTbets5.73I 17.45%NM 16.62%EV -7.84%E -1.37%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.23%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -3.48%E -0.774%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 13:25
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -8.33%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -7.77%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 13:25
BetUS5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -9.93%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.85%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -5.63%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 13:20
SportsBet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -9.93%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -7.77%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 13:15
PMU (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 15.63%EV -9.93%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.88%EV -14.21%E -3.55%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 10:35
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -11.54%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.70%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 13:20
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.54%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 13:05
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.54%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -6.92%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -8.85%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 13:05
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -11.54%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -7.13%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 13:15
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.54%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.21%E -3.55%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 13:05
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.54%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.21%E -3.55%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 13:25
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.54%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.21%E -3.55%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 13:25
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.54%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.21%E -3.55%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 13:25
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.54%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.21%E -3.55%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 13:25
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.54%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -12.06%E -2.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 13:05
LeoVegas5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -13.15%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.11%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -6.70%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -15.56%E -2.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -10.04%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-25 13:20
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -15.56%E -2.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -10.04%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-25 13:20
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -15.56%E -2.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -10.04%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-25 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -15.56%E -2.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -10.04%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-25 13:20
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -15.56%E -2.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.19%EV -10.04%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -14.21%E -3.55%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-25 13:15
Unibet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.01%EV -16.37%E -3.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.42%EV -10.04%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -12.06%E -2.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-25 13:20
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -19.58%E -3.92%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.04%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 12:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -19.58%E -3.92%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.00%EV -10.04%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -12.06%E -2.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 13:15
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.58%E -3.92%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.04%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -14.21%E -3.55%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-25 13:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-07-25 13:25
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-07-25 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-07-25 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-07-25 13:20