L’École des cotes

IF Gnistan v VPS Vaasa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-27 16:00 UTC

Score final : IF Gnistan 1–1 VPS Vaasa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IF Gnistan (Local)

Prévision 36.06%2.77cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -0.703%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.56%36.00%36.14%36.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.542.502.7242.55%39.33%40.00%36.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

VPS Vaasa (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.72%2.80cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.68%35.85%35.66%37.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.582.602.7241.67%38.82%38.46%36.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.22%3.54cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.351%
Kelly -0.491%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.51%28.15%28.20%29.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.253.253.5032.79%30.77%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.62%EV -1.91%E -0.703%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.62%EV -2.85%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.75%EV -4.90%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-27 15:40
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -4.28%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 15:49
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -4.28%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 15:49
BetAnything2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -4.28%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 15:50
GTbets2.67I 37.45%NM 35.69%EV -3.71%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.69%EV -4.64%E -1.74%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.62%EV -6.02%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 03:09
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.27%EV -4.44%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.27%EV -5.35%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -1.23%E -0.351%K -0.491%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 11:00
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.44%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.35%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 15:40
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.06%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.93%EV -8.85%E -2.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 15:48
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-27 15:39
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-27 15:39
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-27 15:39
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-27 15:39
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 35.74%EV -5.88%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.47%EV -6.06%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -8.56%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 15:49
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 15:48
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 15:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 15:50
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -5.35%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-26 16:08
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -1.23%E -0.351%K -0.491%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 15:09
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 15:29
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 23:39
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 15:40
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 14:39
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -11.10%E -3.53%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 15:39
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -9.12%E -3.62%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.42%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 12:50
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -9.12%E -3.62%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.42%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 12:49
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -6.06%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 08:49
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -6.06%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 08:50
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -6.06%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 08:49
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -6.06%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 08:50
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -6.06%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 08:50
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -6.06%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 08:50
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -6.06%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 08:50
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -6.06%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 08:50
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -6.06%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 08:49
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-27 15:09
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-27 15:40
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-27 15:20
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-27 14:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-27 15:19
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -14.28%E -5.95%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-27 15:09
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-27 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-27 15:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-27 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-27 15:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.81%EV -10.57%E -4.26%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 08:50
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 36.81%EV -10.57%E -4.26%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 08:50
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.81%EV -10.57%E -4.26%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 08:50
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 36.81%EV -10.57%E -4.26%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 08:50
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.81%EV -10.57%E -4.26%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 08:50
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.65%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -12.49%E -5.10%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-24 16:39
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.93%EV -14.17%E -5.95%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -11.10%E -3.53%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-20 16:09
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.89%EV -15.25%E -6.49%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.43%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%15.3%2026-06-27 15:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-06-27 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-06-27 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-06-27 15:50
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-06-27 15:50