La escuela de los momios

FC Lahti v SJK Seinäjoki

Inicio: 2026-06-13 16:00 UTC

Final: FC Lahti 2–3 SJK Seinäjoki

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Lahti (Local)

Predicción 43.08%2.32momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -2.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.06%43.04%43.20%45.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.122.2550.00%46.96%47.17%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SJK Seinäjoki (Visitante)

Predicción 30.65%3.26momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -0.602%
Kelly -0.875%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.33%30.66%30.58%31.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.023.003.2037.04%33.14%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.27%3.81momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.468%
Kelly -0.639%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.02%26.29%26.22%28.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.453.403.7434.72%28.96%29.41%26.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.00%EV -3.06%E -1.36%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.91%EV -4.07%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.08%EV -2.54%E -0.685%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-13 15:40
Coolbet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.28%EV -4.36%E -1.96%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -1.93%E -0.602%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 06:20
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 15:50
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-13 12:20
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.20%EV -5.65%E -2.58%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 15:50
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.20%EV -5.65%E -2.58%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 15:50
BetAnything2.19I 45.66%NM 43.20%EV -5.65%E -2.58%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 15:51
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.08%E -2.79%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 15:40
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.08%E -2.79%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 15:40
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 42.35%EV -6.08%E -2.79%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.19%EV -9.28%E -3.14%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.46%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-13 15:50
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.35%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.46%EV -6.22%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 15:50
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 15:49
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 15:50
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 15:50
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 15:51
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:40
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 13:00
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-13 15:51
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-13 15:50
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-13 15:50
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-13 15:50
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-13 15:50
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-13 13:00
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:30
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:30
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:30
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:30
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:30
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:30
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:30
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:30
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:30
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 15:50
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-13 15:50
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-13 15:49
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-13 15:31
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-13 15:30
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-13 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-13 15:30
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-13 15:30
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-13 15:51
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-13 15:50
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.73%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-13 15:50
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-13 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-13 15:50
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-13 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-13 15:50
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.73%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-13 15:51
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.73%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-13 15:50
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -11.68%E -5.70%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.33%EV -2.23%E -0.700%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.02%EV -1.75%E -0.468%K -0.639%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-13 15:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.68%E -5.70%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-13 15:50
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.12%EV -12.11%E -5.94%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.82%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-13 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.06%EV -13.84%E -6.92%K -13.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.42%EV -17.25%E -6.39%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.52%EV -24.34%E -8.45%K -12.95%G +0.000%21.8%2026-06-13 15:42
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-06-13 15:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-06-13 15:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-06-13 15:51
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-06-13 15:51