La escuela de los momios

FC Lahti v FC Inter Turku

Inicio: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Final: FC Lahti 0–2 FC Inter Turku

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Lahti (Local)

Predicción 24.21%4.13momio equitativo
EV +0.487%
Ventaja +0.117%
Kelly +0.155%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.09%24.21%24.14%25.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.803.804.1528.99%26.35%26.32%24.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Inter Turku (Visitante)

Predicción 48.11%2.08momio equitativo
EV -2.81%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -2.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.96%48.15%48.18%49.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.911.912.0257.80%52.48%52.36%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.67%3.61momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.576%
Kelly -0.802%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.69%27.64%27.68%28.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.283.253.5434.72%30.47%30.77%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV +0.487%E +0.117%K +0.155%G +0.001%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.33%EV -6.18%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -3.14%E -0.898%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 14:54
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -3.15%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.10%E -4.24%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:00
DraftKings3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.18%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:40
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -6.18%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:45
BetUS3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -6.18%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:45
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -8.10%E -4.24%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:39
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -8.58%E -4.52%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:39
Pinnacle3.89I 25.71%NM 24.85%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.85%EV -2.81%E -1.39%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.30%EV -2.04%E -0.576%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 13:45
BetOnline.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.01%EV -5.22%E -2.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 13:50
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.01%EV -5.22%E -2.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 13:50
BetAnything3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.01%EV -5.22%E -2.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 13:49
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.62%E -3.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:30
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.62%E -3.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:29
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.62%E -3.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:30
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.62%E -3.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:30
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.62%E -3.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:30
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.62%E -3.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:30
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.62%E -3.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:30
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.62%E -3.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:30
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.62%E -3.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:30
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.10%E -4.24%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.10%E -4.24%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 10:29
LiveScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.91%EV -8.58%E -4.52%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 10:30
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.91%EV -8.58%E -4.52%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 10:30
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.04%EV -9.07%E -4.80%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 10:30
1xBet3.81I 26.25%NM 24.58%EV -7.75%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -6.18%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -5.36%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:39
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -8.58%E -4.52%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:30
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -10.03%E -5.36%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:30
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -8.10%E -4.24%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:40
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -8.10%E -4.24%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:39
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -8.10%E -4.24%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:45
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -8.10%E -4.24%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:30
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -8.58%E -4.52%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 13:40
Marathon Bet3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -8.47%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.07%EV -6.66%E -3.43%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -5.36%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:50
GTbets3.77I 26.53%NM 24.76%EV -8.71%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.62%EV -5.70%E -2.91%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -6.47%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 23:05
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.18%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:40
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -9.55%E -5.08%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:30
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -10.03%E -5.36%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 13:40
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -11.95%E -6.53%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 13:30
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.99%E -5.94%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.99%E -5.94%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 12:00
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.99%E -5.94%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.99%E -5.94%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 12:00
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.62%E -3.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:50
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.62%E -3.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:50
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -7.14%E -3.70%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:49
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.96%EV -11.95%E -6.53%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.31%EV -14.21%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 10:30
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -11.62%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.70%EV -8.58%E -4.52%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 13:40
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -7.62%E -3.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 13:49
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -10.99%E -5.94%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.21%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.09%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.05%EV -16.76%E -9.69%K -22.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.86%EV -20.30%E -7.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%20.3%2026-04-18 13:39
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -15.25%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -11.95%E -6.53%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 13:39
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.01%EV -16.46%E -4.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.15%EV -11.95%E -6.53%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -14.21%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-04-18 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-04-18 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%2.0%2026-04-18 13:50