La escuela de los momios

FC Lahti v AC Oulu

Inicio: 2026-04-25 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Lahti (Local)

Predicción 31.83%3.14momio equitativo
EV +3.46%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +1.54%
Crecimiento +0.053%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.53%31.71%31.88%32.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.892.903.2537.74%34.60%34.48%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AC Oulu (Visitante)

Predicción 40.24%2.49momio equitativo
EV -5.04%
Ventaja -2.14%
Kelly -3.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.45%40.36%40.22%42.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.252.3647.62%44.49%44.44%42.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.93%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -0.805%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.04%27.93%27.90%29.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.293.303.4834.72%30.41%30.30%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV +3.46%E +1.06%K +1.54%G +0.053%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.65%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.64%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 20:49
Pinnacle3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.54%EV -5.44%E -2.32%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.70%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 19:40
GTbets2.98I 33.56%NM 31.67%EV -5.14%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.21%EV -7.86%E -3.43%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.12%EV -2.80%E -0.805%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 09:45
LowVig.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 31.45%EV -5.78%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45%EV -5.04%E -2.14%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 31.45%EV -5.78%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45%EV -5.04%E -2.14%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 11:24
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:05
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 16:07
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 16:09
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:09
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 14:45
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 14:44
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 14:44
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 14:44
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 14:44
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 14:44
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 14:44
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 14:44
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 14:49
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 14:45
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.88%EV -6.41%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.06%EV -5.85%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.06%EV -6.71%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 19:20
Marathon Bet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.85%EV -6.73%E -2.30%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -6.65%E -2.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -6.71%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 19:15
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.05%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.65%E -2.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:24
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.05%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.65%E -2.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:24
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -5.44%E -2.32%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 06:44
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 09:14
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 14:44
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 14:44
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 14:44
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.64%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 15:20
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:00
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 19:13
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 17:24
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 17:24
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 17:24
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 17:23
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -8.64%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 09:10
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 22:20
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 22:20
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 19:34
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 08:55
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-22 12:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 16:04
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 16:04
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 16:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 16:05
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.02%E -3.82%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-24 03:09
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.29%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.33%EV -14.70%E -6.93%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 14:45
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.46%E -4.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.63%EV -12.46%E -4.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.12%EV -15.50%E -7.38%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.25%EV -19.56%E -6.79%K -10.40%G +0.000%18.7%2026-04-23 12:04
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -14.05%E -5.20%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-22 17:24
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.23%EV -15.64%E -5.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.66%EV -15.50%E -7.38%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.11%EV -12.02%E -3.82%K -5.59%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-23 12:06
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.71%4.0%2026-04-24 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.71%4.0%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.71%4.0%2026-04-24 01:40