Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Inter Turku v KuPS Kuopio

Inicio: 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC

Final: FC Inter Turku 1–0 KuPS Kuopio

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Inter Turku (Local)

Predicción 41.60%2.40momio equitativo
EV -3.48%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -2.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.51%41.72%41.57%44.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.082.212.232.3248.08%45.20%44.94%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

KuPS Kuopio (Visitante)

Predicción 29.79%3.36momio equitativo
EV +1.28%
Ventaja +0.376%
Kelly +0.533%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.00%29.67%29.80%30.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.053.003.4035.71%32.79%33.33%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 28.61%3.50momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -0.976%
Kelly -1.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.37%28.61%28.63%29.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.183.153.3833.90%31.41%31.75%29.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Inter Turku (Local): 41.60%; KuPS Kuopio (Visitante): 29.79%; Empate: 28.61%. Para KuPS Kuopio (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.36. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.28%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV +1.28%E +0.376%K +0.533%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -12.63%E -6.02%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -1.70%E -0.515%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 15:25
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.88%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.41%EV -2.00%E -0.607%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.71%EV -3.59%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 15:35
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.01%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.65%EV -3.78%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.34%EV -3.30%E -0.976%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -3.48%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -4.68%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -3.48%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -4.68%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:55
BetAnything🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -3.48%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -4.68%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:55
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.68%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 15:54
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -4.31%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.17%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 15:35
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.17%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 15:33
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.17%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 15:35
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -9.31%E -4.27%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.17%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 15:50
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.09%EV -7.64%E -3.44%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.85%EV -6.76%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%EV -4.73%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.37%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -7.06%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 15:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 15:35
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 15:34
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 15:50
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 15:30
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 15:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 15:34
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.63%E -6.02%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 14:50
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.15%E -3.00%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 15:40
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.15%E -3.00%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 15:40
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 15:35
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 15:35
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 15:35
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -7.23%E -3.24%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 12:59
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -7.23%E -3.24%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 13:00
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -7.23%E -3.24%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -7.23%E -3.24%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -7.23%E -3.24%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 13:00
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -7.23%E -3.24%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 13:00
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -7.23%E -3.24%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -7.23%E -3.24%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -7.23%E -3.24%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 13:00
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 15:04
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.55%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 15:35
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.55%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.63%E -6.02%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 15:50
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.63%E -6.02%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 15:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -10.55%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -12.13%E -4.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 15:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -10.55%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -12.13%E -4.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 15:35
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.61%E -4.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-31 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.61%E -4.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-31 15:55
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.61%E -4.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-31 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.61%E -4.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-31 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.85%EV -9.72%E -4.48%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -13.61%E -4.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-31 13:00
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.85%EV -9.72%E -4.48%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -13.61%E -4.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-31 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.77%EV -10.14%E -4.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -13.61%E -4.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-31 12:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.77%EV -10.14%E -4.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -13.61%E -4.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-31 13:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 40.85%EV -13.47%E -6.47%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.35%EV -16.59%E -5.93%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.80%EV -15.60%E -5.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%17.7%2026-08-31 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-08-31 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-08-31 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-08-31 15:55
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-08-31 15:50