La escuela de los momios

FC Inter Turku v IFK Mariehamn

Inicio: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Inter Turku (Local)

Predicción 69.75%1.43momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -2.20%
Kelly -7.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.37%69.71%69.71%71.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.261.321.321.3979.37%75.72%75.76%71.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IFK Mariehamn (Visitante)

Predicción 11.63%8.59momio equitativo
EV +0.060%
Ventaja +0.007%
Kelly +0.008%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.74%11.73%11.63%13.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.807.788.008.6014.71%12.85%12.50%11.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 18.62%5.37momio equitativo
EV -0.198%
Ventaja -0.037%
Kelly -0.045%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.65%18.56%18.66%21.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.874.905.3625.00%20.54%20.41%18.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -8.63%E -6.59%K -27.85%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.85%EV +0.060%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -3.18%E -0.611%K -0.756%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 11:43
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -7.94%E -6.01%K -24.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -1.10%E -0.130%K -0.147%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -3.18%E -0.611%K -0.756%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 11:44
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -9.33%E -7.18%K -31.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -1.10%E -0.130%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.62%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 14:09
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.88%EV -3.05%E -2.20%K -7.83%G +0.000%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.49%EV -3.08%E -0.370%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.62%EV -9.14%E -1.87%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 15:15
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.54%E -4.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.27%EV -3.43%E -0.413%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.90%EV -7.83%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 16:40
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.54%E -4.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.27%EV -3.43%E -0.413%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.90%EV -7.83%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 14:54
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 70.72%EV -6.54%E -4.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%8.17I 12.24%NM 11.60%EV -4.94%E -0.605%K -0.689%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.68%EV -0.198%E -0.037%K -0.045%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 21:25
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.68%EV -3.75%E -2.72%K -9.87%G +0.000%8.13I 12.30%NM 11.83%EV -5.41%E -0.665%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.49%EV -3.18%E -0.611%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 12:29
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -6.54%E -4.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -2.25%E -0.428%K -0.528%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -6.54%E -4.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 14:04
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -7.94%E -6.01%K -24.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:54
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -7.94%E -6.01%K -24.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:54
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -7.94%E -6.01%K -24.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:54
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -7.94%E -6.01%K -24.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:54
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -7.94%E -6.01%K -24.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:54
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -7.94%E -6.01%K -24.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:54
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -7.94%E -6.01%K -24.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:54
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -7.94%E -6.01%K -24.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:54
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -7.94%E -6.01%K -24.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:54
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.24%E -5.44%K -21.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.62%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 11:44
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.24%E -5.44%K -21.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.62%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 11:45
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.24%E -5.44%K -21.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.62%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 11:44
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.24%E -5.44%K -21.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.62%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 11:44
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.24%E -5.44%K -21.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -11.56%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 21:49
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 68.55%EV -6.54%E -4.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -14.35%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 21:50
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -8.63%E -6.59%K -27.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -8.76%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 13:54
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -9.33%E -7.18%K -31.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -8.76%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -9.33%E -7.18%K -31.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -8.76%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 11:44
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -9.33%E -7.18%K -31.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -8.76%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 16:54
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -9.33%E -7.18%K -31.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -8.76%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 16:54
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -9.33%E -7.18%K -31.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -8.76%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 16:54
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -9.33%E -7.18%K -31.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -6.92%E -0.865%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -11.56%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-20 13:54
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -9.33%E -7.18%K -31.10%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -9.25%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -3.18%E -0.611%K -0.756%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 14:44
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.09%EV -5.15%E -3.78%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV -9.83%E -1.27%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:05
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 69.40%EV -6.54%E -4.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.00%EV -9.83%E -1.27%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 13:03
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 69.40%EV -6.54%E -4.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.00%EV -9.83%E -1.27%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 13:05
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 69.38%EV -9.33%E -7.18%K -31.10%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.64%EV -9.83%E -1.27%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.99%EV -11.56%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 02:05
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.24%E -5.44%K -21.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -12.74%E -1.70%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -16.21%E -3.60%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-20 13:55
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -9.33%E -7.18%K -31.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -12.74%E -1.70%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -11.56%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 21:15
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.77%EV -12.12%E -9.62%K -46.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -12.74%E -1.70%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.51%EV -11.56%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-22 16:54
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 69.42%EV -7.24%E -5.44%K -21.94%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.48%EV -13.90%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -5.04%E -0.988%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 69.42%EV -7.24%E -5.44%K -21.94%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.48%EV -13.90%E -1.88%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -5.04%E -0.988%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 11:24
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -5.84%E -4.33%K -16.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -18.56%E -2.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -11.56%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -7.24%E -5.44%K -21.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -18.56%E -2.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.35%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 15:14
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -7.24%E -5.44%K -21.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -18.56%E -2.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.35%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 15:15
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -7.24%E -5.44%K -21.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -18.56%E -2.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.35%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -7.24%E -5.44%K -21.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -18.56%E -2.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.35%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 15:15
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -9.33%E -7.18%K -31.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -18.56%E -2.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -11.56%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 11:00
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -9.33%E -7.18%K -31.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -18.56%E -2.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -14.35%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-22 14:04
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 68.85%EV -10.73%E -8.38%K -38.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -18.56%E -2.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.55%EV -11.56%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-24 03:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 66.37%EV -10.03%E -7.77%K -34.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.23%EV -18.56%E -2.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.40%EV -25.52%E -6.38%K -8.51%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-23 14:04
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 67.64%EV -12.12%E -9.62%K -46.62%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.53%EV -20.88%E -3.07%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.82%EV -19.93%E -4.64%K -6.04%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-23 14:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.87%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.75%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.38%4.6%2026-04-23 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.87%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.75%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.38%4.6%2026-04-23 20:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.87%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.75%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.38%4.6%2026-04-23 20:40