La escuela de los momios

AC Oulu v Jaro

Inicio: 2026-05-31 13:02 UTC

Final: AC Oulu 2–1 Jaro

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

AC Oulu (Local)

Predicción 57.26%1.75momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.880%
Kelly -2.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.79%57.18%57.28%58.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.621.621.7265.36%61.70%61.73%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jaro (Visitante)

Predicción 18.28%5.47momio equitativo
EV +2.57%
Ventaja +0.458%
Kelly +0.558%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.67%18.39%18.22%20.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.894.805.6122.22%20.44%20.83%17.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.46%4.09momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.358%
Kelly -0.476%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.86%24.43%24.50%26.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.733.754.0331.25%26.79%26.67%24.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.45%EV -8.38%E -5.24%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.67%EV +2.57%E +0.458%K +0.558%G +0.014%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.87%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 12:59
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.81%EV -6.09%E -3.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.25%EV +2.21%E +0.395%K +0.481%G +0.011%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.93%EV -1.44%E -0.358%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-31 12:59
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.54%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV -3.10%E -0.584%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.40%E -0.860%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 12:58
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -4.01%E -0.764%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -3.40%E -0.860%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.23%EV -4.92%E -0.947%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.62%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:00
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.23%EV -4.92%E -0.947%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.62%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:00
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.81%E -4.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -4.92%E -0.947%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.06%EV -5.11%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 12:59
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -4.92%E -0.947%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -8.38%E -5.24%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -4.92%E -0.947%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-31 13:00
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.58%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 12:59
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%EV -6.09%E -3.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.58%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.84%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 12:59
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.58%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 13:00
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -8.38%E -5.24%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.58%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 13:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -8.58%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-31 13:00
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.38%E -5.24%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -8.58%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-31 13:00
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -7.81%E -4.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -8.58%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-31 12:59
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -7.81%E -4.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -8.58%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-31 12:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -7.81%E -4.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -8.58%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-31 12:59
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -10.10%E -6.43%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -8.58%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 12:59
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -10.10%E -6.43%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -8.58%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -10.73%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-31 12:59
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.87%EV -2.66%E -1.56%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.07%EV -8.95%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.06%EV -7.31%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 12:59
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -9.50%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -3.40%E -0.860%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 13:00
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -9.50%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -3.40%E -0.860%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 12:59
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.54%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 13:00
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 56.54%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 13:00
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 56.54%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 13:00
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 56.54%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 12:59
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.54%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 13:00
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.54%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 12:59
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 56.54%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 12:59
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 56.54%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 12:58
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.54%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-31 13:00
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-31 12:56
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.38%E -5.24%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.40%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-31 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.38%E -5.24%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.40%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-31 12:59
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.38%E -5.24%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.40%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-31 12:59
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.38%E -5.24%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.40%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-31 13:00
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -13.15%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-31 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -13.15%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-31 13:00
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -13.15%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-31 12:59
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -8.38%E -5.24%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -13.15%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-31 12:59
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -8.38%E -5.24%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -13.15%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 13:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -10.10%E -6.43%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -13.15%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-31 12:59
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 56.92%EV -11.25%E -7.26%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -13.15%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-31 13:00
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 55.34%EV -1.51%E -0.880%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -14.07%E -2.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -4.62%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 12:59
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 55.92%EV -3.80%E -2.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -14.07%E -2.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -4.62%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.82%EV -12.39%E -8.10%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.69%EV -14.98%E -3.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%EV -13.18%E -3.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-31 12:58
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -15.89%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 12:59
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.42%EV -10.67%E -6.84%K -19.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%EV -15.89%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-31 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -17.72%E -3.94%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-31 12:59
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -17.72%E -3.94%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-31 12:55
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -17.72%E -3.94%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-31 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.00%EV -12.39%E -8.10%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.70%EV -17.72%E -3.94%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.30%EV -21.74%E -6.79%K -9.88%G +0.000%18.8%2026-05-31 12:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.67%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%0.4%2026-05-31 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.56%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%0.5%2026-05-31 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.56%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%0.5%2026-05-31 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.84%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-05-31 13:00