La escuela de los momios

AC Oulu v FC Lahti

Inicio: 2026-06-27 18:00 UTC

Final: AC Oulu 1–1 FC Lahti

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

AC Oulu (Local)

Predicción 46.52%2.15momio equitativo
EV -3.70%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -3.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.59%46.59%46.56%49.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.981.952.0754.05%50.56%51.28%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Lahti (Visitante)

Predicción 26.76%3.74momio equitativo
EV +2.51%
Ventaja +0.654%
Kelly +0.886%
Crecimiento +0.022%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.09%26.75%26.78%28.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.433.453.8331.25%29.19%28.99%26.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.72%3.74momio equitativo
EV +0.185%
Ventaja +0.049%
Kelly +0.067%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.17%26.66%26.66%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.423.403.7530.77%29.24%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.09%EV +2.51%E +0.654%K +0.886%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV +0.185%E +0.049%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 14:10
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.79%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.22%EV -1.24%E -0.336%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.03%EV -4.36%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-27 17:40
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.10%E -2.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.65%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 17:40
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -3.65%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.37%EV -5.96%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-24 12:20
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.99%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-27 17:50
BetAnything2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.99%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-27 17:50
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 17:40
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 17:39
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.89%E -3.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 04:19
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 17:48
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.82%E -4.50%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 16:30
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 16:29
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 16:30
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 16:30
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 16:29
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 16:30
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 16:30
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.06%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-27 16:29
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 47.06%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-27 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.50%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 16:29
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.50%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 16:30
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -10.22%E -5.29%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 16:30
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 17:49
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -5.56%E -2.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 17:49
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-24 10:10
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 17:49
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 17:49
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 17:39
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-24 10:10
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-27 17:39
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-27 17:49
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-26 18:09
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.15%E -5.84%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-24 10:09
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.89%E -3.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.34%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -1.15%E -0.311%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-27 17:40
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.89%E -3.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.34%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -1.15%E -0.311%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-27 17:50
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.34%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.50%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-27 17:40
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.54%E -6.67%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -10.34%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -13.17%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-27 16:29
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.82%EV -5.10%E -2.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -10.88%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.11%EV -4.36%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 17:50
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-27 17:50
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-27 17:49
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-27 17:49
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-27 17:49
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-27 17:49
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 46.95%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -13.17%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%15.1%2026-06-27 17:39
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-27 17:50
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-27 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-27 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-27 17:50
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-27 17:50
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-27 17:49
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -11.15%E -5.84%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -14.36%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-27 17:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-06-27 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-06-27 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-06-27 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-06-27 17:49