La scuola delle quote

Austria v Jordan

Inizio: 2026-06-17 04:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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25 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Austria (Casa)

Previsione 69.93%1.43quota equa
EV -4.19%
Vantaggio -3.06%
Kelly -11.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.70%69.95%69.92%71.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.341.331.3778.13%74.83%75.19%72.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jordan (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.74%8.52quota equa
EV +11.51%
Vantaggio +1.21%
Kelly +1.35%
Crescita +0.156%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.26%11.70%11.71%13.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.757.947.509.5014.81%12.60%13.33%10.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 18.33%5.46quota equa
EV -1.02%
Vantaggio -0.189%
Kelly -0.232%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.34%18.36%18.37%19.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.705.045.005.4021.28%19.84%20.00%18.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 71.17%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.26%EV +11.51%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.156%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.57%EV -3.77%E -0.718%K -0.887%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-06 09:10
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 71.24%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.31%EV +10.34%E +1.10%K +1.23%G +0.127%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.45%EV -3.77%E -0.718%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 09:09
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +5.64%E +0.627%K +0.705%G +0.040%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -12.94%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 09:10
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.64%E +0.627%K +0.705%G +0.040%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.35%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 09:10
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 71.10%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.99%EV +3.29%E +0.374%K +0.422%G +0.014%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.91%EV -1.02%E -0.189%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 09:09
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -0.227%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.35%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 09:09
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -0.227%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.35%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 09:09
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 70.78%EV -6.29%E -4.69%K -18.50%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.50%EV -3.16%E -0.383%K -0.436%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.73%EV -1.94%E -0.362%K -0.446%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 09:26
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -6.10%E -0.762%K -0.871%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -3.77%E -0.718%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 09:10
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.69%E -5.82%K -24.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -6.10%E -0.762%K -0.871%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -1.02%E -0.189%K -0.232%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 09:08
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 70.24%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.18%G +0.000%7.94I 12.59%NM 11.76%EV -6.80%E -0.856%K -0.980%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.00%EV -4.87%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 09:10
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.97%E -1.60%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -3.77%E -0.718%K -0.887%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.97%E -1.60%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -3.77%E -0.718%K -0.887%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 09:09
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.97%E -1.60%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -3.77%E -0.718%K -0.887%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 09:09
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -11.97%E -1.60%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -12.94%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 09:10
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -11.97%E -1.60%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.35%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 09:10
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -11.97%E -1.60%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -12.02%E -2.50%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 09:09
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -11.97%E -1.60%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -12.94%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 09:10
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -11.97%E -1.60%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -12.94%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 09:09
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -11.97%E -1.60%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -12.94%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 09:09
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.30%EV -10.49%E -8.19%K -37.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.83%EV -11.97%E -1.60%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -13.85%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-06 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.39%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.18%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.46%EV -14.31%E -1.96%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.94%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -14.90%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -4.69%E -0.902%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 09:09
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -14.90%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -4.69%E -0.902%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 09:09
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 67.70%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -20.77%E -3.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -12.94%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 09:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.30%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.61%3.2%2026-04-06 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.30%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.61%3.2%2026-04-06 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.30%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.61%3.2%2026-04-06 09:10
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 67.58%7.14I 14.01%NM 12.97%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.45%8.0%2026-04-06 09:30
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 70.39%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%10.1%2026-04-06 09:10