默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hitchin Town FC v Biggleswade Town FC

开赛时间: 2026-09-08 18:46 UTC

最终结果: Hitchin Town FC 3–0 Biggleswade Town FC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

19 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hitchin Town FC (主队)

预测 49.89%2.00公平赔率
EV -4.21%
优势 -2.19%
Kelly -4.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.92

博彩公司预测分布
47.74%49.91%49.89%52.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.861.871.9258.14%53.69%53.48%52.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

Biggleswade Town FC (客队)

预测 25.87%3.87公平赔率
EV +3.47%
优势 +0.867%
Kelly +1.16%
增长率 +0.040%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.72%25.47%25.87%27.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.393.254.0031.25%29.49%30.77%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.24%4.12公平赔率
EV +1.82%
优势 +0.434%
Kelly +0.570%
增长率 +0.010%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
21.70%24.63%24.24%26.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.713.654.2028.57%26.94%27.40%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Hitchin Town FC (主队):49.89%;Biggleswade Town FC (客队):25.87%;平局:24.24%。 对于“Biggleswade Town FC (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.87。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.00,对应+3.47%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.21%E -2.74%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV +3.47%E +0.867%K +1.16%G +0.040%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 18:44
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -3.00%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -11.51%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 18:43
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.88%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 17:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -14.19%E -8.25%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.88%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV +1.82%E +0.434%K +0.570%G +0.010%9.7%2026-09-08 17:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.17%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.67%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.51%EV -9.20%E -5.06%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 25.60%EV -8.95%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 24.89%EV -12.24%E -3.38%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-08 18:44
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.72%EV -4.21%E -2.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -10.76%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.17%EV -6.18%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 18:44
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.90%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.93%E -4.90%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -11.51%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.90%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.93%E -4.90%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -11.51%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.90%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.93%E -4.90%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -11.51%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 17:50
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.90%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.93%E -4.90%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -11.51%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.90%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.93%E -4.90%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -11.51%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.90%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.93%E -4.90%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -11.51%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.90%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.93%E -4.90%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -11.51%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.90%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.93%E -4.90%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -11.51%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.90%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.93%E -4.90%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -11.51%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.90%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.93%E -4.90%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -11.51%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 17:50
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.90%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.93%E -4.90%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -11.51%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 17:50
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -8.70%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -17.22%E -5.38%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -15.15%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-08 18:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。