Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur

2026-10-10 16:30 UTC — EPL

Testa a testa

22 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Manchester United (Casa)

Previsione 57.56%1.74quota equa
EV -2.14%
Vantaggio -1.26%
Kelly -3.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.24%57.58%57.51%58.58%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.631.621.7065.79%61.49%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Tottenham Hotspur (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.77%5.06quota equa
EV +0.234%
Vantaggio +0.046%
Kelly +0.057%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.39%19.84%19.68%21.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.614.605.0723.81%21.68%21.74%19.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 22.67%4.41quota equa
EV -0.273%
Vantaggio -0.062%
Kelly -0.080%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.17%22.58%22.80%23.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.114.004.4026.32%24.34%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Manchester United (Casa): 57.56%; Tottenham Hotspur (Trasferta): 19.77%; Pareggio: 22.67%. Per Tottenham Hotspur (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 5.06. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 5.07, con un valore atteso positivo del +0.234%.

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.99%EV -2.14%E -1.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 19.45%EV +0.234%E +0.046%K +0.057%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.56%EV -0.953%E -0.218%K -0.283%G +0.000%1.4%2026-09-12 19:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.06%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.54%E -0.591%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-12 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.21%EV -6.75%E -4.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -2.54%E -0.591%K -0.769%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.75%E -4.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:11
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.08%EV -5.59%E -3.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -0.273%E -0.062%K -0.080%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 17:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -7.32%E -4.55%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 17:10
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%EV -1.86%E -0.429%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 17:21
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -2.54%E -0.591%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 17:20
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:45
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.58%EV -8.47%E -5.33%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -0.273%E -0.062%K -0.080%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:21
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 17:10
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 17:10
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -8.47%E -5.33%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.21%EV -10.20%E -6.54%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.61%EV -10.05%E -2.21%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.18%EV -12.74%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 17:09
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -6.75%E -4.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -1.86%E -0.429%K -0.558%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 17:21
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -6.75%E -4.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -4.81%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -10.77%E -6.95%K -19.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-12 17:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -15.98%E -3.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 17:41
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 56.76%EV -12.50%E -8.22%K -24.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.54%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-12 17:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 31.98%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.19%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.83%184.3%2026-09-12 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 31.98%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.19%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.83%184.3%2026-09-12 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-09-12 19:10