Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Bournemouth v Brentford

2026-09-12 14:00 UTC — EPL

Testa a testa

25 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Bournemouth (Casa)

Previsione 39.04%2.56quota equa
EV -1.63%
Vantaggio -0.647%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.10%39.01%39.06%40.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.372.402.5245.45%42.11%41.67%39.68%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Brentford (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.08%2.93quota equa
EV -0.824%
Vantaggio -0.283%
Kelly -0.431%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.25%34.08%34.07%35.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.732.752.9139.22%36.67%36.36%34.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.88%3.72quota equa
EV -0.533%
Vantaggio -0.144%
Kelly -0.198%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.51%26.92%26.88%27.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.473.503.7030.77%28.79%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Bournemouth (Casa): 39.04%; Brentford (Trasferta): 34.08%; Pareggio: 26.88%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.72. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.70, con un valore atteso del -0.533%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 39.09%EV -1.63%E -0.647%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.85%EV -0.824%E -0.283%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 27.06%EV -2.15%E -0.590%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-30 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.06%EV -3.19%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV -2.53%E -0.884%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.06%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.57%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -9.68%E -3.65%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.22%E -0.895%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 12:15
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.22%E -0.895%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 12:35
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.57%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.98%E -2.96%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 14:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -9.68%E -3.65%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:29
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 12:40
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.39%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 18:29
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.09%E -2.98%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.98%E -2.96%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.22%E -0.895%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 12:15
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.09%E -2.98%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.98%E -2.96%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.22%E -0.895%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 12:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.29%EV -7.88%E -3.34%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.60%EV -5.94%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.06%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 12:15
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -0.533%E -0.144%K -0.198%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 12:15
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -1.88%E -0.514%K -0.709%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:15
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.22%E -0.895%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:15
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.98%E -2.96%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 12:15
ReBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.20%EV -9.44%E -4.07%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 33.56%EV -7.64%E -2.82%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.23%EV -10.21%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.22%E -4.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.98%E -2.96%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 12:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -11.00%E -4.82%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.25%EV -6.96%E -2.55%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 12:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -12.17%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -9.68%E -3.65%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.38%EV -14.12%E -6.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.97%EV -13.09%E -5.13%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.65%EV -12.63%E -3.89%K -5.61%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-30 12:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 36.92%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.19%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.89%11.0%2026-08-30 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 29.47%1.09I 91.74%NM 41.63%1.57I 63.69%NM 28.90%120.4%2026-08-30 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 29.47%1.09I 91.74%NM 41.63%1.57I 63.69%NM 28.90%120.4%2026-08-30 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 29.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 42.31%1.57I 63.69%NM 28.57%123.0%2026-08-30 16:50