La escuela de los momios

Walsall v Cambridge United

Inicio: 2026-03-17 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Walsall (Local)

Predicción 21.55%4.64momio equitativo
EV +2.36%
Ventaja +0.497%
Kelly +0.629%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.77%21.70%21.53%24.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.164.204.7527.03%24.06%23.81%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cambridge United (Visitante)

Predicción 49.22%2.03momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.783%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.68%49.06%49.28%51.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.911.912.0055.56%52.36%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.23%3.42momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -0.887%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.17%29.24%29.19%30.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.143.153.3234.72%31.81%31.75%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +2.36%E +0.497%K +0.629%G +0.015%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.93%E -5.43%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:40
LowVig.ag4.55I 21.98%NM 20.82%EV -1.95%E -0.429%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -7.96%E -4.26%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.53%EV -2.94%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 19:40
1xBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.95%E -4.84%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.95%E -4.84%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.95%E -4.84%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.95%E -4.84%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -8.95%E -4.84%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.38%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:30
Pinnacle4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV -4.11%E -0.923%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.58%EV -5.50%E -2.87%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.02%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 19:31
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -4.11%E -0.923%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -8.95%E -4.84%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 19:40
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -4.11%E -0.923%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -8.95%E -4.84%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 19:40
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.18%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.42%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.13%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 19:40
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -5.18%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.45%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:40
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.18%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.96%E -4.26%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Paddy Power4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.18%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%EV -7.96%E -4.26%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.45%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:25
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.36%EV -9.93%E -5.43%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:40
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.95%E -4.84%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.38%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:25
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -11.41%E -6.34%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.45%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:40
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:25
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -9.38%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:20
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -7.96%E -4.26%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.45%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -9.49%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.03%E -2.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.91%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 19:15
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -9.49%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.03%E -2.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.91%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 19:14
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -9.49%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -7.96%E -4.26%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:25
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -9.49%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.96%E -4.26%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.91%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:39
BetUS4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -9.49%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.96%E -4.26%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.91%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -9.49%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.95%E -4.84%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.45%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:40
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.49%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:20
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -9.49%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.45%EV -7.47%E -3.97%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.84%E -3.55%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:40
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -9.49%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.95%E -4.84%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.38%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:40
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.49%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -10.42%E -5.73%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -7.91%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.04%EV -9.49%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -9.93%E -5.43%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.68%EV -15.81%E -5.49%K -8.41%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-17 19:25
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -4.03%E -2.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.38%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:15
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.50%EV -5.01%E -2.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.38%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:15
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.38%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:15
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -19.19%E -5.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -1.57%E -0.783%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -10.84%E -3.55%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:25
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -19.19%E -5.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -1.57%E -0.783%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -10.84%E -3.55%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:25
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -19.19%E -5.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -1.57%E -0.783%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -10.84%E -3.55%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -19.19%E -5.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -1.57%E -0.783%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -10.84%E -3.55%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:25
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -19.19%E -5.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -1.57%E -0.783%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -10.84%E -3.55%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:25
Casumo3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -19.19%E -5.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -1.57%E -0.783%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -10.84%E -3.55%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:25
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -19.19%E -5.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -1.57%E -0.783%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -10.84%E -3.55%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:25
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -19.19%E -5.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -1.57%E -0.783%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -10.84%E -3.55%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:25
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -19.19%E -5.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -1.57%E -0.783%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -10.84%E -3.55%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:25
betPARX3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -19.19%E -5.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -1.57%E -0.783%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -10.84%E -3.55%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:25
Svenska Spel3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -19.19%E -5.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -1.57%E -0.783%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -10.84%E -3.55%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:25
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -20.27%E -5.48%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -2.55%E -1.29%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -10.84%E -3.55%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:25
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -20.27%E -5.48%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -2.55%E -1.29%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -10.84%E -3.55%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:25
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -20.27%E -5.48%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.91%EV -3.04%E -1.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -10.84%E -3.55%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-17 19:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-03-17 19:40
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.52%1.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%3.5%2026-03-17 19:40