La escuela de los momios

Tranmere Rovers v Oldham Athletic

Inicio: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Predicción 26.07%3.84momio equitativo
EV -0.934%
Ventaja -0.246%
Kelly -0.333%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.28%26.02%26.11%26.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.523.503.8029.41%28.42%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oldham Athletic (Visitante)

Predicción 47.35%2.11momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -2.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.77%47.41%47.20%49.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.971.962.0554.64%50.69%51.15%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.58%3.76momio equitativo
EV -0.077%
Ventaja -0.020%
Kelly -0.028%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.20%26.57%26.69%28.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.413.403.7633.33%29.30%29.41%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -0.934%E -0.246%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -9.55%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:44
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -0.934%E -0.246%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -11.45%E -6.12%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:39
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.24%E -0.597%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:38
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.02%EV -2.50%E -0.668%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -8.61%E -4.46%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.51%EV -6.19%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:49
Pinnacle3.71I 26.95%NM 25.65%EV -3.28%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.05%EV -8.13%E -4.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.31%EV -0.077%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 14:50
Sky Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.54%E -0.957%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -9.55%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -1.67%E -0.452%K -0.619%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:45
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -3.54%E -0.957%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -10.97%E -5.84%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -1.67%E -0.452%K -0.619%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:45
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -3.54%E -0.957%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -10.97%E -5.84%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -1.67%E -0.452%K -0.619%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:45
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -3.54%E -0.957%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -10.03%E -5.28%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 14:44
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.00%E -0.822%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:35
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:39
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 12:57
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 13:10
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 13:10
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -12.39%E -6.70%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:45
Marathon Bet3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -6.67%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -9.08%E -4.73%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -4.86%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:49
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.45%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.55%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:54
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 05:29
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -4.34%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.57%EV -5.92%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 14:45
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -4.34%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.57%EV -5.92%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 14:44
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 05:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 05:29
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -6.71%E -3.41%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 13:29
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 12:49
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.55%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:40
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -10.03%E -5.28%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:49
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -11.45%E -6.12%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -13.34%E -7.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -20.27%E -6.76%K -10.14%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-07 14:44
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.06%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -7.18%E -3.67%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 04:29
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 04:30
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 04:29
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 04:30
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 04:30
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 04:30
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 04:30
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 04:29
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 04:29
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 04:29
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 04:29
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:34
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -4.34%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 04:30
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -4.34%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 04:30
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -4.34%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 04:29
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:39
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 13:10
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 13:09
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 13:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-03-07 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-03-07 14:49
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 24.88%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%3.1%2026-03-07 14:55