L’École des cotes

Shrewsbury Town v Cheltenham Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shrewsbury Town (Local)

Prévision 46.30%2.16cote équitable
EV -4.17%
Avantage -2.01%
Kelly -3.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.26%46.29%46.22%47.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.012.002.0752.36%49.72%50.00%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cheltenham Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.23%3.96cote équitable
EV +0.918%
Avantage +0.230%
Kelly +0.306%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.78%25.20%25.28%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.633.604.0028.99%27.54%27.78%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.47%3.51cote équitable
EV -0.908%
Avantage -0.261%
Kelly -0.366%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.24%28.51%28.51%30.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.213.203.4834.72%31.17%31.25%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV +0.918%E +0.230%K +0.306%G +0.003%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.65%EV -5.46%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:05
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV +0.918%E +0.230%K +0.306%G +0.003%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.65%EV -5.46%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:05
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -1.60%E -0.411%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 14:55
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -1.60%E -0.411%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 14:20
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -2.87%E -0.744%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 03:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.13%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:15
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.13%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 03:25
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.94%EV -8.33%E -4.21%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.13%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:30
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.72%E -4.99%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.13%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 03:24
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.39%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 13:55
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -8.33%E -4.21%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -5.39%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -8.33%E -4.21%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -5.39%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:15
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%EV -8.80%E -4.47%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.10%EV -5.89%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.38%EV -2.62%E -0.765%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:50
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.65%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -3.19%E -0.937%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 12:45
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.65%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 03:24
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.65%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 14:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.65%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.65%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 14:35
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.65%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 14:35
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.65%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 03:24
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -9.72%E -4.99%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.91%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:53
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -9.72%E -4.99%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.91%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.46%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -8.16%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.37%EV -0.908%E -0.261%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.58%EV -7.87%E -3.96%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -9.17%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.17%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 14:45
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.17%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:34
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.80%E -4.47%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.17%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 14:40
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.17%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 04:14
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -8.33%E -4.21%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.17%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 13:55
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.44%E -2.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:35
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.44%E -2.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.19%E -0.937%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -4.17%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:25
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -4.17%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:24
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -4.17%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:24
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -4.17%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:24
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -4.17%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:24
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -4.17%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:25
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -4.17%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -4.17%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:25
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -4.17%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:24
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -4.17%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:24
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -4.17%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:25
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:45
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.72%E -4.99%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.27%EV -11.58%E -6.06%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -17.99%E -6.25%K -9.57%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-14 14:55
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 44.46%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -12.96%E -3.76%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 18:24
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.46%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -12.96%E -3.76%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 18:25
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.46%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -12.96%E -3.76%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 18:24
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.72%E -4.99%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -12.96%E -3.76%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.09%1.7%2026-03-14 14:45