Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rochdale v Gillingham

Início: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Final: Rochdale 1–4 Gillingham

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rochdale (Local)

Previsão 44.85%2.23odd justa
EV -3.58%
Vantagem -1.66%
Kelly -3.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.16%44.85%44.82%45.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.962.052.052.1551.02%48.73%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gillingham (Visitante)

Previsão 27.31%3.66odd justa
EV -4.43%
Vantagem -1.27%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.31%27.25%27.37%28.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.383.383.5030.30%29.58%29.63%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.85%3.59odd justa
EV +0.245%
Vantagem +0.068%
Kelly +0.094%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.99%27.90%27.81%28.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.303.303.6031.75%30.27%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rochdale (Local): 44.85%; Gillingham (Visitante): 27.31%; Empate: 27.85%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.59. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.245%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.06%E -3.93%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV +0.245%E +0.068%K +0.094%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.82%E -2.77%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 11:35
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -5.82%E -2.77%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.28%EV -4.98%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:15
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.10%EV -5.82%E -2.77%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -5.80%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.58%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 05:50
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.82%E -2.77%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 13:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.82%E -2.77%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 13:04
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.82%E -2.77%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.82%E -2.77%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.72%E -3.23%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 05:10
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.06%E -3.93%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.82%E -2.77%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.82%E -2.77%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 20:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.72%E -3.23%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.72%E -3.23%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:25
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -8.06%E -3.93%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 19:25
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.06%E -3.93%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 14:05
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.59%EV -6.27%E -3.00%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.33%EV -6.89%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.07%EV -7.55%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 08:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -7.55%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 08:25
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.82%E -2.77%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:04
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.82%E -2.77%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:03
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.82%E -2.77%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 13:05
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.82%E -2.77%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 08:35
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -6.72%E -3.23%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -5.80%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 19:55
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -6.72%E -3.23%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -5.80%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 19:55
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.06%E -3.93%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 20:45
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.06%E -3.93%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 13:04
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.06%E -3.93%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.06%E -3.93%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 19:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.84%EV -8.96%E -4.41%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 05:15
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 19:25
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.06%E -3.93%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 13:29
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.06%E -3.93%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 12:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 12:10
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 12:10
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 12:10
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 12:10
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 12:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 12:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 12:10
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 12:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.06%E -3.93%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 12:40
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.06%E -3.93%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 12:40
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.06%E -3.93%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.06%E -3.93%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.06%E -3.93%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 13:25
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -9.41%E -4.66%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 14:14
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 12:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.38%EV -11.65%E -5.91%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.12%EV -12.10%E -6.17%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 12:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.12%EV -12.10%E -6.17%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 12:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.66%2.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.32%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%3.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.32%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%3.1%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.32%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%3.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%4.8%2026-09-04 14:35