La escuela de los momios

Newport County v Oldham Athletic

Inicio: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Newport County (Local)

Predicción 38.55%2.59momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -0.670%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.74%38.42%38.57%39.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.442.452.5544.44%40.97%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oldham Athletic (Visitante)

Predicción 32.79%3.05momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -0.766%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.43%32.85%32.72%34.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.772.752.9838.02%36.16%36.36%33.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.66%3.49momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -0.749%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.76%28.73%28.70%29.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.173.203.4034.72%31.53%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -1.71%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -13.10%E -4.94%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 13:50
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -1.71%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -13.10%E -4.94%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -1.71%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -13.10%E -4.94%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 13:49
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -1.71%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -13.10%E -4.94%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 13:49
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -1.71%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -13.10%E -4.94%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 13:49
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -1.71%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -13.10%E -4.94%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 13:50
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -1.71%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -13.10%E -4.94%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -1.71%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -13.10%E -4.94%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 13:50
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -1.71%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -13.10%E -4.94%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 13:49
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -1.71%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -13.10%E -4.94%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 13:50
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -1.71%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -13.10%E -4.94%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 13:49
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -1.71%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -13.10%E -4.94%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 13:50
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -1.71%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -13.10%E -4.94%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 13:50
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -1.71%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -13.10%E -4.94%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 13:54
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -9.82%E -3.57%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:39
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -9.82%E -3.57%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:40
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -9.82%E -3.57%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 08:19
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.56%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.18%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -2.55%E -0.749%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 14:04
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.56%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -8.18%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 14:20
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.56%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.18%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.56%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.18%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.56%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.18%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:05
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.56%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.18%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:04
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.56%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.82%E -3.57%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 14:05
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.56%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.82%E -3.57%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 14:10
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.56%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.46%E -4.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:39
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.56%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.46%E -4.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:39
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.03%EV -4.58%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:15
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.54%E -2.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 12:34
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.18%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:49
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.82%E -3.57%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 00:42
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.46%E -4.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:39
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.46%E -4.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:39
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.46%E -4.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 12:39
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 39.38%EV -7.88%E -3.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -2.28%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.05%EV -7.13%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 12:30
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -4.25%E -1.46%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 12:19
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -4.25%E -1.46%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 12:19
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.08%EV -5.23%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.18%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 03:50
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -5.56%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:19
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -5.56%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:19
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -5.56%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:19
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -5.56%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:20
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -11.46%E -4.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 14:24
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.02%EV -9.03%E -3.83%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:19
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.02%EV -9.03%E -3.83%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:19
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.42%E -4.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.54%E -2.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 00:04
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.42%E -4.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.54%E -2.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:20
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -9.42%E -4.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.18%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 12:19
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -5.56%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -11.34%E -4.93%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -13.76%E -5.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -17.45%E -6.06%K -9.28%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 12:39
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -13.27%E -5.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -8.18%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 38.66%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%2.7%2026-04-24 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 37.79%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.21%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.00%4.2%2026-04-24 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 37.79%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.21%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.00%4.2%2026-04-24 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 37.54%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.66%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%4.9%2026-04-24 02:50
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%5.8%2026-04-24 03:50