La escuela de los momios

Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley FC

Inicio: 2026-04-11 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milton Keynes Dons (Local)

Predicción 53.54%1.87momio equitativo
EV -3.63%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -4.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.20%53.46%53.55%55.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.751.751.8061.73%57.29%57.14%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bromley FC (Visitante)

Predicción 19.53%5.12momio equitativo
EV +4.12%
Ventaja +0.773%
Kelly +0.952%
Crecimiento +0.039%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.72%19.65%19.56%22.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.594.755.3324.39%21.78%21.05%18.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.93%3.71momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -0.850%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.08%26.89%26.88%28.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.433.453.6031.25%29.13%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 55.29%EV -7.92%E -4.60%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.84%EV +4.12%E +0.773%K +0.952%G +0.039%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:05
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.40%EV -7.92%E -4.60%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 17.92%EV +1.97%E +0.378%K +0.467%G +0.009%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -8.98%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:19
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.18%EV -10.59%E -6.34%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +1.58%E +0.304%K +0.377%G +0.006%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:04
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.40%EV -6.85%E -3.93%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -2.33%E -0.465%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 11:04
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.99%E -5.29%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -2.33%E -0.465%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:14
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.99%E -5.29%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -2.33%E -0.465%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:15
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -11.13%E -6.70%K -16.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -2.33%E -0.465%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 11:14
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -11.66%E -7.07%K -17.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -2.33%E -0.465%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 11:05
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -8.99%E -5.29%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -4.28%E -0.873%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:20
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -7.38%E -4.27%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -5.26%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:25
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -7.38%E -4.27%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -3.06%E -0.850%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:24
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:14
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:15
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 53.14%EV -6.85%E -3.93%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:20
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 53.14%EV -6.85%E -3.93%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:19
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -12.48%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:19
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -12.48%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:20
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -12.48%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -12.48%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:19
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -5.24%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 11:05
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.66%EV -6.85%E -3.93%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:05
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:05
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.99%E -5.29%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 11:15
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.99%E -5.29%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 11:04
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.20%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.19%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:25
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.20%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.19%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:25
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.13%EV -8.45%E -4.94%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -10.14%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 11:20
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 11:15
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 11:05
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -8.45%E -4.94%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 11:05
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -7.92%E -4.60%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.14%E -3.38%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.58%EV -13.27%E -8.19%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -13.83%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 11:14
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:15
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.45%EV -6.85%E -3.93%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -16.98%E -3.99%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:05
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 09:24
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 09:24
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 09:25
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 09:25
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 09:24
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 09:25
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 09:24
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 09:24
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 09:25
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 09:25
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -5.24%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 09:25
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -5.24%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 09:25
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -5.24%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 09:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-04-11 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.76%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.8%2026-04-11 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.59%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-04-11 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.73%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-04-11 11:25
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-04-11 11:25