La escuela de los momios

Grimsby Town v Bromley FC

Inicio: 2026-03-07 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Grimsby Town (Local)

Predicción 47.68%2.10momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -2.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.90%47.62%47.60%49.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.971.952.0454.05%50.88%51.28%49.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bromley FC (Visitante)

Predicción 25.68%3.89momio equitativo
EV +0.135%
Ventaja +0.035%
Kelly +0.047%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.06%25.72%25.71%27.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.533.563.9029.85%28.31%28.09%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.64%3.75momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.383%
Kelly -0.525%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.29%26.66%26.69%29.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.423.403.7033.33%29.28%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV +0.135%E +0.035%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.75%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 12:18
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.37%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.81%EV -1.41%E -0.366%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.82%EV -1.68%E -0.457%K -0.626%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 12:20
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.48%EV -1.92%E -0.502%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.56%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 12:20
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.75%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 12:19
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.41%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 12:19
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.41%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 12:19
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.29%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.65%EV -7.28%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 12:20
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.75%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 12:20
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.28%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -2.75%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 12:10
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -11.79%E -6.37%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -6.28%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -6.75%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.75%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 12:20
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 12:16
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.75%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 12:09
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 12:20
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 12:19
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 12:20
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.41%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.75%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 12:19
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 12:19
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 12:19
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 12:19
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 12:19
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 12:20
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -10.36%E -5.51%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 12:20
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.31%EV -8.59%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.41%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 12:19
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.12%EV -8.59%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 12:20
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -3.69%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.75%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 12:19
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -1.42%E -0.383%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 12:10
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.75%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 12:19
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 12:09
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 12:20
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 12:19
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.84%E -5.80%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.75%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -20.07%E -6.69%K -10.03%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-07 12:09
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.26%EV -6.55%E -3.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.70%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 12:19
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -13.99%E -4.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.08%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 12:19
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -13.99%E -4.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.08%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -13.99%E -4.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.08%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 12:20
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -13.99%E -4.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.08%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 12:20
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -13.99%E -4.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.08%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 12:20
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -13.99%E -4.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.08%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 12:20
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -13.99%E -4.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.08%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 12:19
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -13.99%E -4.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.08%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 12:20
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -13.99%E -4.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.08%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 12:19
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -13.99%E -4.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.08%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 12:19
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -13.99%E -4.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.08%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 12:20
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -3.69%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -13.99%E -4.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -13.41%E -4.13%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 12:20
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -3.69%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -13.99%E -4.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -13.41%E -4.13%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 12:20
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -3.69%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -13.99%E -4.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -13.41%E -4.13%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 12:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-03-07 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-03-07 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-03-07 12:20
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-03-07 12:20
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.70%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.32%2.7%2026-03-07 12:20