La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Gillingham v Bristol Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gillingham (Local)
Predicción 38.33%2.61momio equitativo
EV -3.40%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -2.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.93%38.28%38.46%39.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.402.402.5243.48%41.59%41.67%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bristol Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 32.62%3.07momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.489%
Kelly -0.731%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.09%32.67%32.62%34.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.832.853.0237.04%35.30%35.09%33.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.04%3.44momio equitativo
EV -3.87%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.40%29.05%28.92%30.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.183.203.3134.72%31.46%31.25%30.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.40%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -5.90%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.40%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -5.90%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.16%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.16%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -10.28%E -3.74%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.16%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -10.28%E -3.74%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.16%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -10.28%E -3.74%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.16%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -10.28%E -3.74%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.16%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -10.28%E -3.74%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.16%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -10.28%E -3.74%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.16%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -11.92%E -4.41%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.92%E -4.41%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.92%E -4.41%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49%EV -7.23%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.64%EV -1.48%E -0.489%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.87%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -7.23%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -6.04%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -7.23%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -6.04%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| 1xBet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -7.61%E -3.16%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.09%EV -1.80%E -0.599%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -9.68%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.44%EV -7.61%E -3.16%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.06%EV -5.72%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.50%EV -8.81%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Sky Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.04%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -6.04%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.31%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -6.37%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:48 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.65%E -3.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:53 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.65%E -3.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -6.04%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.87%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -6.04%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.87%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -6.04%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.87%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -6.04%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.87%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -11.92%E -4.41%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.28%E -3.74%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.76%E -3.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.65%E -3.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.93%EV -8.76%E -3.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -11.92%E -4.41%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.52%EV -16.36%E -5.68%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.91%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.91%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.91%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.91%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.91%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.91%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.91%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.91%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:39 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.91%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.91%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.91%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:39 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -9.91%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.65%E -3.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.06%EV -10.68%E -4.58%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.65%E -3.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.06%EV -10.68%E -4.58%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.65%E -3.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.06%EV -10.68%E -4.58%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.65%E -3.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -11.83%E -5.14%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.04%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -11.83%E -5.14%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.60% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.49% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |