La escuela de los momios

Colchester United v Oldham Athletic

Inicio: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Colchester United (Local)

Predicción 38.85%2.57momio equitativo
EV +2.18%
Ventaja +0.830%
Kelly +1.34%
Crecimiento +0.029%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.13%38.71%38.84%39.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.412.402.6343.48%41.52%41.67%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oldham Athletic (Visitante)

Predicción 32.51%3.08momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.607%
Kelly -0.908%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.29%32.59%32.55%35.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.812.853.0238.46%35.53%35.09%33.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.64%3.49momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -0.770%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.55%28.69%28.61%30.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.213.203.4034.72%31.19%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV +2.18%E +0.830%K +1.34%G +0.029%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -15.49%E -5.96%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 13:45
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.09%E -0.829%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV -2.48%E -0.828%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 13:45
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.09%E -0.829%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV -2.48%E -0.828%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 13:45
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:50
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:50
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:50
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:50
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:50
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:50
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:50
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:50
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:50
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -3.64%E -1.47%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -13.86%E -5.23%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 13:50
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -3.64%E -1.47%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -13.86%E -5.23%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -3.64%E -1.47%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -13.86%E -5.23%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 13:50
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.81%E -1.96%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.73%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 13:45
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -4.81%E -1.96%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.81%E -1.96%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:54
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 39.59%EV -6.36%E -2.64%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.59%EV -1.83%E -0.607%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.82%EV -5.20%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -6.71%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -2.62%E -0.770%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 13:54
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.38%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:54
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.73%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 13:49
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.38%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 13:55
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -7.53%E -3.16%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -5.08%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:45
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -7.53%E -3.16%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -5.08%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:44
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -7.53%E -3.16%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:55
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.53%E -3.16%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.87%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.16%EV -8.92%E -2.80%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:54
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.53%E -3.16%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -7.92%E -3.34%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -6.71%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.62%E -0.770%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 13:54
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.61%EV -7.92%E -3.34%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.88%EV -6.71%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Codere (IT)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.53%EV -8.31%E -3.52%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -10.61%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.05%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:54
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.05%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:55
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 13:55
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:44
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:54
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:55
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.91%EV -9.08%E -3.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -6.71%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.55%EV -2.90%E -0.857%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -5.73%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:54
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:54
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:44
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -5.73%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 13:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -5.73%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 13:54
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -5.73%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 13:50
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -17.51%E -6.08%K -9.31%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.00%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%2.5%2026-04-03 13:55