La escuela de los momios

Bromley FC v Walsall

Inicio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: Bromley FC 3–1 Walsall

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bromley FC (Local)

Predicción 58.72%1.70momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -4.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.23%58.64%58.71%59.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.581.6565.36%62.64%63.29%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Walsall (Visitante)

Predicción 18.66%5.36momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -0.390%
Kelly -0.482%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.41%18.71%18.63%20.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.354.784.805.2522.99%20.92%20.83%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.62%4.42momio equitativo
EV +1.79%
Ventaja +0.397%
Kelly +0.511%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.77%22.65%22.66%25.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.064.054.5029.41%24.65%24.69%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -11.38%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.79%E +0.397%K +0.511%G +0.009%7.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -4.87%E -3.01%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -16.04%E -3.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -0.475%E -0.108%K -0.140%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:55
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -6.63%E -4.17%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -2.74%E -0.636%K -0.829%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 13:31
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -6.04%E -3.78%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.68%EV -5.41%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.13%EV -3.19%E -0.745%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -4.87%E -3.01%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:15
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.46%E -3.39%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:10
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.04%E -3.78%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.04%E -3.78%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -4.87%E -3.01%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -11.38%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:54
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -5.46%E -3.39%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:39
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:55
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -8.39%E -5.38%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -8.98%E -5.79%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -11.38%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:39
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.22%E -4.57%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.65%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -6.13%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:35
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.22%E -4.57%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.65%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -6.13%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:35
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -8.39%E -5.38%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.19%EV -4.85%E -0.950%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -6.13%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.30%EV -7.22%E -4.57%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:45
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:54
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.63%E -4.17%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:40
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -7.22%E -4.57%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:06
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -7.22%E -4.57%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -7.22%E -4.57%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:40
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -7.22%E -4.57%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:40
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 59.08%EV -8.39%E -5.38%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:54
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.98%E -5.79%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:31
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 58.99%EV -10.15%E -6.64%K -19.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -11.38%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 13:35
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.22%E -4.57%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.04%E -3.78%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -14.18%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:55
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -10.15%E -6.64%K -19.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:35
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:55
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -11.38%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:55
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -3.11%E -1.88%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -17.91%E -4.07%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:20
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -3.11%E -1.88%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -17.91%E -4.07%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:20
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -3.11%E -1.88%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -17.91%E -4.07%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:20
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -3.11%E -1.88%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -17.91%E -4.07%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:20
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -3.11%E -1.88%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -17.91%E -4.07%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:20
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -3.11%E -1.88%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -17.91%E -4.07%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:20
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -3.11%E -1.88%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -17.91%E -4.07%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -3.11%E -1.88%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -17.91%E -4.07%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:20
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -3.11%E -1.88%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -17.91%E -4.07%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:20
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -3.11%E -1.88%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -17.91%E -4.07%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:20
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -3.11%E -1.88%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -17.91%E -4.07%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:20
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -7.22%E -4.57%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -12.31%E -2.62%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:15
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:45
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -4.28%E -2.63%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -18.84%E -4.33%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:18
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -4.28%E -2.63%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -18.84%E -4.33%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -4.28%E -2.63%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -18.84%E -4.33%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:20
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -8.98%E -5.79%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.92%E -3.35%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.23%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -16.04%E -3.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.50%EV -23.09%E -6.79%K -9.62%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%3.1%2026-05-02 13:55