La escuela de los momios

Bromley FC v Bristol Rovers

Inicio: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bromley FC (Local)

Predicción 47.60%2.10momio equitativo
EV -0.993%
Ventaja -0.478%
Kelly -0.920%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.57%47.61%47.50%50.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.821.921.922.0854.95%52.08%52.08%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bristol Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 25.82%3.87momio equitativo
EV +2.00%
Ventaja +0.505%
Kelly +0.677%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.24%25.77%25.95%27.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.683.703.9529.41%27.15%27.03%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.58%3.76momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -0.744%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.89%26.62%26.54%28.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.443.453.6633.33%29.05%28.99%27.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -12.42%E -6.75%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV +2.00%E +0.505%K +0.677%G +0.014%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-11 14:05
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -12.89%E -7.05%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV +2.00%E +0.505%K +0.677%G +0.014%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 14:05
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -12.89%E -7.05%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV +2.00%E +0.505%K +0.677%G +0.014%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 14:05
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -12.89%E -7.05%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV +2.00%E +0.505%K +0.677%G +0.014%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 14:04
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -12.89%E -7.05%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV +2.00%E +0.505%K +0.677%G +0.014%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 14:05
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -12.89%E -7.05%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV +2.00%E +0.505%K +0.677%G +0.014%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 14:05
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -12.89%E -7.05%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV +2.00%E +0.505%K +0.677%G +0.014%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 14:04
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -12.89%E -7.05%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV +2.00%E +0.505%K +0.677%G +0.014%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 14:04
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -12.89%E -7.05%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV +2.00%E +0.505%K +0.677%G +0.014%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 14:04
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -12.89%E -7.05%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV +2.00%E +0.505%K +0.677%G +0.014%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -12.89%E -7.05%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV +2.00%E +0.505%K +0.677%G +0.014%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 14:05
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -13.37%E -7.35%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV +0.705%E +0.181%K +0.243%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-11 14:05
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -13.37%E -7.35%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV +0.705%E +0.181%K +0.243%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-11 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -13.37%E -7.35%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV +0.705%E +0.181%K +0.243%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-11 14:04
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.88%E -0.494%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.94%E -6.45%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -1.88%E -0.494%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.17%E -0.845%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 14:09
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.17%E -0.845%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 13:10
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -8.13%E -4.21%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.02%EV -3.43%E -0.916%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.51%EV -6.18%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.46%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 14:10
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.46%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 13:10
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.46%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 14:50
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -5.75%E -2.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.46%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 14:10
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.46%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.75%E -2.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.46%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 14:10
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.75%E -2.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.46%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 14:10
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -4.46%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 12:10
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -9.56%E -5.03%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -4.46%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:40
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.28%E -2.65%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.05%EV -5.49%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.05%EV -2.72%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 14:55
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -7.04%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -5.75%E -2.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.04%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 12:05
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.04%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.04%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 13:10
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -8.61%E -4.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.04%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:10
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.04%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:53
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.04%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:50
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:50
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -5.75%E -2.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:35
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -5.75%E -2.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:35
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -7.66%E -3.95%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -12.89%E -7.05%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -20.26%E -6.75%K -10.13%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.46%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -10.92%E -3.16%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 14:50
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -0.993%E -0.478%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:50
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -0.993%E -0.478%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 14:35
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:50
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:50
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 14:34
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-03-14 14:40