La escuela de los momios

Bromley FC v Accrington Stanley

Inicio: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bromley FC (Local)

Predicción 53.63%1.86momio equitativo
EV -4.54%
Ventaja -2.55%
Kelly -5.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.32%53.61%53.66%55.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.731.741.7861.73%57.80%57.47%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Accrington Stanley (Visitante)

Predicción 19.71%5.07momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.288%
Kelly -0.360%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.64%19.77%19.65%21.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.604.605.0023.26%21.72%21.74%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.66%3.75momio equitativo
EV -0.040%
Ventaja -0.011%
Kelly -0.014%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.76%26.62%26.69%27.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.483.503.7531.25%28.78%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.30%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 10:30
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.32%EV -5.61%E -3.19%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -1.44%E -0.288%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 10:30
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.32%EV -5.61%E -3.19%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -1.44%E -0.288%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 10:30
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.12%EV -5.61%E -3.19%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.13%EV -1.83%E -0.368%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.76%EV -5.10%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 04:24
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.03%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 04:18
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 04:19
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -6.37%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 04:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -6.37%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 04:19
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 19.72%EV -6.76%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.96%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 13:30
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.20%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 04:09
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.20%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 04:09
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 04:24
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 10:30
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 09:35
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 10:30
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 09:35
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 09:35
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -11.30%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 10:30
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -6.68%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 04:09
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.66%EV -6.68%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.37%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 04:18
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.71%EV -6.68%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.08%EV -14.25%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 18:29
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.71%EV -6.68%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.08%EV -14.25%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 18:30
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 52.71%EV -6.68%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.08%EV -14.25%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.71%EV -6.68%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.08%EV -14.25%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.71%EV -6.68%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.08%EV -14.25%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 18:25
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 52.71%EV -6.68%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.08%EV -14.25%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 18:30
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 52.71%EV -6.68%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.08%EV -14.25%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 18:29
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 52.71%EV -6.68%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.08%EV -14.25%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 18:30
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.71%EV -6.68%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.08%EV -14.25%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 18:25
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 52.71%EV -6.68%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.08%EV -14.25%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 18:30
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 52.71%EV -6.68%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.08%EV -14.25%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 18:25
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 04:09
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.37%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 14:00
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.64%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -6.37%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.82%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 13:30
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -11.30%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 13:30
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.75%E -4.51%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -11.30%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 04:24
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -7.75%E -4.51%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -15.24%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-26 12:35
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -7.75%E -4.51%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -15.24%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-25 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -7.75%E -4.51%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -15.24%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-25 18:25
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -8.29%E -4.85%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 10:30
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.68%EV -8.29%E -4.85%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -6.37%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 15:34
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.68%EV -8.29%E -4.85%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -6.37%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 07:34
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -8.83%E -5.19%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.30%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -0.040%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:00
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 53.92%EV -8.83%E -5.19%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 14:04
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 53.92%EV -8.83%E -5.19%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 13:59
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.83%E -5.19%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 14:15
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.83%E -5.19%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.37%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-27 07:29
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -8.83%E -5.19%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -6.37%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 04:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -11.51%E -6.97%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.41%E -0.696%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 00:14
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -11.51%E -6.97%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.64%EV -4.40%E -0.906%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.58%EV -13.12%E -8.10%K -21.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -11.30%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -14.70%E -4.59%K -6.68%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-28 12:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.66%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.79%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.79%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.67%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75%2.2%2026-02-28 14:15